Polymarket · Football
Loose-Smolt is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 46 picks, 60.9% win rate, $4K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 46 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 46 have settled: 28 won, 18 lost, 60.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 36 | 36 | 22 | 61.1% |
| Premier League | 10 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
Loose-Smolt mainly predicts World Cup: 36 of the last 46 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.9% hit rate over 46 orders, P&L $4K, ROI 34.4%. In World Cup, 22 of 36 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-10-25 14:41 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:3 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | AFC Bournemouth to win | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:0 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) Premier League | Liverpool FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | AFC Bournemouth 0:1 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Liverpool FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry City FC) Premier League | Nottingham Forest FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) 3:0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 2:3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Aston Villa FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) 2:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Liverpool FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Turkey men's national football team (Türkiye) 3:2 United States men's national soccer team (United States) FIFA World Cup | United States to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Croatia to win | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | draw | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt to win | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Japan to win | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) FIFA World Cup | Germany to win | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands to win | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco to win | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Netherlands (Bosnia-Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to win | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (DR Congo) FIFA World Cup | draw | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) FIFA World Cup | Austria to win | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Sweden to win | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Côte d'Ivoire to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkey men's national football team (Türkiye) FIFA World Cup | Australia to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 0:1 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) FIFA World Cup | Scotland to win | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | draw | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Japan to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-23 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 1:1 Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) Premier League | Liverpool FC to win | Lost |