Nations League ·
Germany vs Netherlands prediction for 16 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC (Nations League): 10 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 78% backing Germany to win. Prediction-market win probability: Germany 51%, the draw 22%, Netherlands 26% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Germany 51% · Draw 22% · Netherlands 26% (updated )
Germany is the prediction-market favourite at 51% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-15 03:02 UTC+0). Of 9 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 7 (78%) back Germany to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 51% of 2371 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-15 03:02 UTC+0, Polymarket shows: Germany 51% · Draw 22% · Netherlands 26%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
10 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Germany 7 (78%) · Draw 0 (0%) · Netherlands 2 (22%).
Germany, last 5: W D W L D. Netherlands, last 5: W W D W D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-15 03:02 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
10 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Germany to win 7 (78%) · the draw 0 (0%) · Netherlands to win 2 (22%).
| 2026-11-14 | vs Serbia | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-05 | vs Greece | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-02 | vs Serbia | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Greece | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-25 | vs Netherlands | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-11-14 | vs Greece | 7:0 | W |
| 2026-10-05 | vs Serbia | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-02 | vs Greece | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Serbia | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-25 | vs Germany | 1:1 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-15 | NM-P Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | NM-P Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | 0xd23c…9291 Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Baela Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Baela Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Baela Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | GC-P Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | NM-P Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Baela Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Baela Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | neuralnetwork Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | hydra1248 Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | neuralnetwork Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Flaznorp Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | prospective.wasp3861 Kalshi | Netherlands wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | NM-P Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | GC-P Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | JAMJAMJAM4 Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | suntori Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | digitalmonster2 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | manvsrice42 Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | neuralnetwork Polymarket | Germany vs Netherlands O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Tys0n8686 Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | coolhanddan Kalshi | Germany wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | hydra1248 Polymarket | Germany vs Netherlands O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | neuralnetwork Polymarket | Germany vs Netherlands O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | manvsrice42 Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Roht Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Germany -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Germany -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | lbtrading Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | sionnach Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | TheOnlyDude Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | sionnach Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | rayvanmechelen Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | lbtrading Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Tomahawkmaster Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | digitalmonster2 Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | pizdi.bolyu Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | TheOnlyDude Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | dipsy Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | digitalmonster2 Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | ALEO-106 Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-12 | chaeri Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-12 | repophoto Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | hXMxXVdpTXPBsFcHjMvGcxC Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-06 | DannyCipriani Polymarket | Germany to win | Pending |