Nations League ·
Belgium vs Italy prediction for 15 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC (Nations League): 99 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 58% backing Italy to win. Prediction-market win probability: Belgium 46%, the draw 25%, Italy 29% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Belgium 46% · Draw 25% · Italy 29% (updated )
Belgium is the prediction-market favourite at 46% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-15 19:12 UTC+0). Of 59 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 34 (58%) back Italy to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 2018 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-15 19:12 UTC+0, Polymarket shows: Belgium 46% · Draw 25% · Italy 29%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
99 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Belgium 19 (32%) · Draw 6 (10%) · Italy 34 (58%).
Belgium, last 5: W L W L W. Italy, last 5: W W D W L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-15 19:12 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
99 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Belgium to win 19 (32%) · the draw 6 (10%) · Italy to win 34 (58%).
| 2026-11-13 | vs Türkiye | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | vs France | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Türkiye | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-09-29 | vs France | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Italy | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-11-13 | vs France | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | vs Türkiye | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | vs France | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Türkiye | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Belgium | 0:2 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-16 | GC-P Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | NM-P Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | testyeagles Polymarket | exact score 3 - 0 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | NM-P Polymarket | exact score 0 - 1 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Zhoumin528 Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Somber-Commercial Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Somber-Commercial Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | testyeagles Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | testyeagles Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Baela Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | UlamTriX Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | UlamTriX Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | UlamTriX Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | testyeagles Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | UlamTriX Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | elgrandes Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | GC-P Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | sweise Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | UlamTriX Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | UlamTriX Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | AntiVaxxer Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Baela Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | NM-P Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | sweise Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | GC-P Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | testyeagles Polymarket | exact score 3 - 2 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Baela Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | NM-P Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | NM-P Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | GC-P Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | testyeagles Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | NM-P Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | GC-P Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Baela Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Baela Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | MarianitoSimpson Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Baela Polymarket | Belgium -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Zhoumin528 Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Zhoumin528 Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | F4RGH0N4 Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | GC-P Polymarket | exact score 1 - 1 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | F4RGH0N4 Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Somber-Commercial Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Baela Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | sweise Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | NM-P Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | F4RGH0N4 Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | KeF666 Polymarket | exact score 3 - 1 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | NM-P Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | TrippleEX Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | GC-P Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | GC-P Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | chayon10 Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | chayon10 Polymarket | Belgium to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | NM-P Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Baela Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | chayon10 Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | F4RGH0N4 Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | NM-P Polymarket | Belgium vs Italy O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | F4RGH0N4 Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |