Nations League ·
Italy vs France prediction for 12 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC (Nations League): 26 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 75% backing France to win. Prediction-market win probability: Italy 20%, the draw 24%, France 56% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Italy 20% · Draw 24% · France 56% (updated )
France is the prediction-market favourite at 56% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-10 03:14 UTC+0). Of 20 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 15 (75%) back France to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 52% of 2286 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-10 03:14 UTC+0, Polymarket shows: Italy 20% · Draw 24% · France 56%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
26 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Italy 4 (20%) · Draw 1 (5%) · France 15 (75%).
Italy, last 5: W D W L W. France, last 5: W D W W L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-10 03:14 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
26 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Italy to win 4 (20%) · the draw 1 (5%) · France to win 15 (75%).
| 2026-10-06 | vs Türkiye | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | vs France | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Türkiye | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Belgium | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-06-08 | vs Greece | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | vs Belgium | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Italy | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Belgium | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Türkiye | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-07-19 | vs England | 4:6 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | VGR22 Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Italy vs France O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | VGR22 Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | VGR22 Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | VGR22 Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | VGR22 Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | VGR22 Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | VGR22 Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | VGR22 Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | VGR22 Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | TrippleEX Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | Exotic-Congregation Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | Exotic-Congregation Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Italy vs France O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Italy vs France O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Italy vs France O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | Flaznorp Polymarket | exact score 1 - 3 | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | Flaznorp Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Italy -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Italy -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Ecasas Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | marketp Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | TheOnlyDude Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | hortikkk Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Estela.G Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | fuzi- Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | 0x765e…36dd Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Italy vs France O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | lamp.theme Kalshi | France wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Alukard23 Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Fake-Suet Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Cnniang Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Italy -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | LongQQQW Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | andersonadn10 Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | suntori Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | 0x765e…36dd Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Italy vs France O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Italy vs France O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Grandiose-Care Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Tomahawkmaster Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | clb-q Polymarket | France to win | Pending |