| Match | Kick-off | Market favourite | Pros’ majority | Pros |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Recoleta – LibertadAPF División de Honor | 10-05 13:00 | Draw 41% | Libertad 51%split | 69 |
| Chicago Fire FC – Vancouver Whitecaps FCMajor League Soccer | 10-07 00:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC 41% | Vancouver Whitecaps FC 74%same side | 42 |
| Croatia – SpainUEFA Nations League | 10-06 18:45 | Spain 78% | Spain 60%same side | 35 |
| France – BelgiumUEFA Nations League | 10-05 18:45 | France 65% | France 74%same side | 35 |
| England – CzechiaUEFA Nations League | 10-06 18:45 | England 87% | England 53%same side | 19 |
| Romania – SwedenUEFA Nations League | 10-05 18:45 | Sweden 57% | Sweden 69%same side | 16 |
| Nicaragua – Dominican RepublicCONCACAF Nations League | 10-05 02:00 | Dominican Republic 60% | Dominican Republic 73%same side | 15 |
| Liechtenstein – GibraltarFifa Friendly | 10-05 18:45 | Liechtenstein 36% | — | 14 |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina – PolandUEFA Nations League | 10-05 18:45 | Poland 41% | Poland 60%same side | 10 |
| Estonia – IcelandUEFA Nations League | 10-06 18:45 | Iceland 61% | Iceland 89%same side | 9 |
| FC Barcelona – Getafe CFLa Liga | 10-10 16:30 | FC Barcelona 92% | FC Barcelona 56%same side | 9 |
| Liverpool FC – Manchester City FCPremier League | 10-11 15:30 | Manchester City FC 39% | Liverpool FC 67%split | 9 |
| Chelsea FC – AFC BournemouthPremier League | 10-10 14:00 | Chelsea FC 57% | Chelsea FC 88%same side | 8 |
| Scotland – SloveniaUEFA Nations League | 10-06 18:45 | Scotland 56% | Scotland 100%same side | 7 |
| Cyprus – LatviaUEFA Nations League | 10-05 16:00 | Cyprus 60% | Cyprus 71%same side | 7 |
| Match | Score | Pros’ majority | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium – FranceUEFA Nations League | 0:1 | France 78% (478) | ✓ |
| France – ItalyUEFA Nations League | 1:1 | France 69% (364) | ✗ |
| Mexico – PeruFifa Friendly | 1:1 | Mexico 77% (334) | ✗ |
| Denmark – PortugalUEFA Nations League | 2:4 | Portugal 87% (299) | ✓ |
| Norway – PortugalUEFA Nations League | 1:2 | Norway 42% (296) | ✗ |
| Columbus Crew – Inter Miami CFMajor League Soccer | 2:1 | Inter Miami CF 73% (280) | ✗ |
| Wales – NorwayUEFA Nations League | 2:1 | Norway 80% (273) | ✗ |
| Germany – GreeceUEFA Nations League | 0:1 | Germany 71% (263) | ✗ |
| Greece – NetherlandsUEFA Nations League | 2:2 | Netherlands 62% (250) | ✗ |
| Croatia – EnglandUEFA Nations League | 0:7 | England 89% (207) | ✓ |
| Dallas Wings W – Golden State Valkyries WWNBA | 108:100 | Dallas Wings W 54% (206) | ✓ |
| Golden State Valkyries W – Dallas Wings WWNBA | 77:73 | Dallas Wings W 51% (204) | ✗ |
| Czechia – EnglandUEFA Nations League | 0:2 | England 90% (191) | ✓ |
| Sweden – PolandUEFA Nations League | 3:1 | Sweden 83% (190) | ✓ |
| Finland – BelarusUEFA Nations League | 0:0 | Finland 76% (167) | ✗ |
For comparison, the market favourite won 57.6% of 1,374 finished matches in the 7 days to 2026-10-05. Favourite = the side with the highest prediction-market price within 24 hours before kick-off.
You are welcome to quote any figure on this page. Please credit "Tips" and link to: https://x.tips/reports/pros-vs-market/2026-w41 · CC BY 4.0
Top 10 profitable pros per competition by hit rate over the last 30 days.
Hit rate of the prediction-market favourite by probability band and by sport, last 7 and 30 days.
Out of 790,618 public prediction-market accounts, 11,894 pass our profitability screens. The numbers behind the long-term winners.