| Match | Kick-off | Market favourite | Pros’ majority | Pros |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| France – ItalyUEFA Nations League | 10-02 18:45 | France 68% | France 83%same side | 65 |
| Chicago Fire FC – Vancouver Whitecaps FCMajor League Soccer | 10-07 00:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC 41% | Vancouver Whitecaps FC 73%same side | 48 |
| Latvia – MontenegroUEFA Nations League | 10-02 16:00 | Montenegro 57% | Montenegro 77%same side | 35 |
| Spain – CzechiaUEFA Nations League | 10-03 18:45 | Spain 92% | Spain 55%same side | 33 |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina – SwedenUEFA Nations League | 10-02 18:45 | Sweden 40% | Sweden 66%same side | 29 |
| Ukraine – Northern IrelandUEFA Nations League | 10-02 18:45 | Ukraine 49% | Ukraine 84%same side | 25 |
| Croatia – EnglandUEFA Nations League | 10-03 16:00 | England 54% | England 68%same side | 22 |
| Belgium – TürkiyeUEFA Nations League | 10-02 18:45 | Belgium 63% | Belgium 94%same side | 17 |
| Bolivia – GambiaFifa Friendly | 10-04 22:30 | Draw 99% | Draw 75%same side | 16 |
| Poland – RomaniaUEFA Nations League | 10-02 18:45 | Poland 61% | Poland 80%same side | 15 |
| Faroe Islands – SlovakiaUEFA Nations League | 10-02 18:45 | Slovakia 63% | Slovakia 47%same side | 15 |
| Argentina – Burkina FasoFifa Friendly | 10-03 20:00 | Argentina 84% | Argentina 60%same side | 15 |
| Cyprus – ArmeniaUEFA Nations League | 10-02 16:00 | Cyprus 47% | Draw 43%split | 14 |
| North Macedonia – ScotlandUEFA Nations League | 10-03 18:45 | Scotland 56% | Scotland 75%same side | 12 |
| Hungary – GeorgiaUEFA Nations League | 10-02 18:45 | Hungary 43% | Hungary 50%same side | 12 |
| Match | Score | Pros’ majority | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos – Los Angeles RamsNFL | 30:26 | Los Angeles Rams 54% (723) | ✗ |
| Chicago Bears – Philadelphia EaglesNFL | 27:7 | Philadelphia Eagles 71% (577) | ✗ |
| Belgium – FranceUEFA Nations League | 0:1 | France 78% (443) | ✓ |
| Dallas Cowboys – Baltimore RavensNFL | 31:34 | Baltimore Ravens 62% (436) | ✓ |
| England – SpainUEFA Nations League | 2:3 | Spain 66% (405) | ✓ |
| Mexico – PeruFifa Friendly | 1:1 | Mexico 76% (288) | ✗ |
| Germany – GreeceUEFA Nations League | 0:1 | Germany 70% (254) | ✗ |
| Denmark – PortugalUEFA Nations League | 2:4 | Portugal 89% (238) | ✓ |
| Wales – NorwayUEFA Nations League | 2:1 | Norway 86% (236) | ✗ |
| Colombia – MexicoFifa Friendly | 1:1 | Mexico 54% (235) | ✗ |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Minnesota VikingsNFL | 16:23 | Minnesota Vikings 50% (233) | ✓ |
| New Orleans Saints – Las Vegas RaidersNFL | 27:35 | Las Vegas Raiders 61% (231) | ✓ |
| Greece – NetherlandsUEFA Nations League | 2:2 | Netherlands 67% (222) | ✗ |
| Serbia – NetherlandsUEFA Nations League | 1:2 | Netherlands 92% (208) | ✓ |
For comparison, the market favourite won 58.6% of 1,046 finished matches in the 7 days to 2026-10-02. Favourite = the side with the highest prediction-market price within 24 hours before kick-off.
You are welcome to quote any figure on this page. Please credit "Tips" and link to: https://x.tips/reports/pros-vs-market/2026-w40 · CC BY 4.0
Top 10 profitable pros per competition by hit rate over the last 30 days.
Hit rate of the prediction-market favourite by probability band and by sport, last 7 and 30 days.
Out of 791,417 public prediction-market accounts, 11,733 pass our profitability screens. The numbers behind the long-term winners.