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Week 41, 2026 Only 1.5% of traders make the cut

Only 1.5% of traders make the cut

Accounts analysed
790,618
Profitable pros listed
11,894
1.5%
Combined P&L of those pros
$120.9M
Pro predictions tracked
3,864,587
In the last 30 days: 901,711
Matches covered
85,513
Polymarket
604,706
By platform
Kalshi
182,601
By platform
SX
3,311
By platform

Why so few?

  • Pros are listed only after passing Tips’ own multi-factor screening.
  • Even the market favourite wins only 53.9% of matches (last 30 days), so beating the market consistently is rare.
  • Past performance does not indicate future results; the data is for reference only.

Methodology

How to cite

You are welcome to quote any figure on this page. Please credit "Tips" and link to: https://x.tips/reports/profitable-traders/2026-w41 · CC BY 4.0

Other reports

Profitable pros vs. the market

The most-followed matches of the week: the market favourite next to the side most profitable pros back, plus how last week’s majority calls turned out.

Most accurate pros by competition

Top 10 profitable pros per competition by hit rate over the last 30 days.

How often the market favourite wins

Hit rate of the prediction-market favourite by probability band and by sport, last 7 and 30 days.

All issues

See the full data on Tips