LoL Worlds 2026 · MLB Postseason
Intl Friendlies ·
Bolivia vs Gambia prediction for 4 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC (Intl Friendlies): 18 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 45% backing the draw. Prediction-market win probability: Bolivia <1%, the draw 99%, Gambia <1% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Bolivia <1% · Draw 99% · Gambia <1% (updated )
the draw is the prediction-market favourite at 99% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-02 16:21 UTC+0). Of 11 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 5 (45%) back the draw. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 84% of 1749 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-02 16:21 UTC+0, Polymarket shows: Bolivia <1% · Draw 99% · Gambia <1%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
18 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Bolivia 3 (27%) · Draw 5 (45%) · Gambia 3 (27%).
Bolivia, last 5: L L L L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-03 03:20 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
18 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Bolivia to win 3 (27%) · the draw 5 (45%) · Gambia to win 3 (27%).
| 2026-10-01 | vs Argentina | 0:4 | L |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Paraguay | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-06-11 | vs Algeria | 0:4 | L |
| 2026-06-07 | vs Scotland | 0:4 | L |
| 2025-11-18 | vs Japan | 0:3 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Bolivia -5.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Bolivia -5.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Gambia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Gambia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |