Polymarket & Kalshi sports probabilities today

Name: Polymarket & Kalshi sports probabilities today — 446 matches with pros’ positions
Creator: x.tips

As of 2026-10-27 06:34 UTC, 446 matches in the next 48 hours have a public price on Polymarket or Kalshi. The table lists each side’s chance, the price source and tracked pro positions, by kickoff time (UTC+0).

Kickoff	Match	Chance (home · draw · away)	Source	Pro positions
10-27 08:00	B8 – K27 Tesla Cup	66% · — · 34%	Kalshi	25
10-27 08:30	PSS Sleman – Borneo F.C. Samarinda Indonesia Super League	28% · 26% · 45%	Kalshi	25
10-27 09:00	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks – Yokohama BayStars NPB	67% · — · 33%	Polymarket	0
10-27 09:00	Revise – eternal premium CS2	53% · — · 47%	Kalshi	2
10-27 09:00	Unsettled Resentment – Victory No Limits Valorant	72% · — · 28%	Kalshi	1
10-27 09:00	Prestige – Bread Eaters Esports CS2	75% · — · 25%	Kalshi	2
10-27 09:00	Team Nemesis – Brute CS2	75% · — · 25%	Kalshi	1
10-27 09:00	oveA – Zero Tenacity Dota 2	17% · — · 83%	Polymarket	1
10-27 09:15	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters – Converge FiberXers Philippine Basketball Association	39% · — · 61%	Kalshi	1
10-27 09:30	Dynamo Vladivostok – Avtodor VTB United League	68% · — · 31%	Polymarket	0
10-27 09:30	Samsung Lions – Kia Tigers KBO	38% · — · 61%	Polymarket	12
10-27 09:30	Dinamo Vladivostok – Avtodor Saratov VTB United League	72% · — · 28%	Kalshi	1
10-27 09:30	Samsung Lions – KIA Tigers KBO	39% · — · 60%	Polymarket	0
10-27 10:00	Shanghai Port F.C. – Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC AFC Champions League Elite	62% · 20% · 16%	Kalshi	45
10-27 10:00	Johor Darul Ta'zim F.C. – Port FC AFC Champions League Elite	80% · 11% · 7%	Kalshi	41
10-27 10:00	Kyoto Sanga FC – Newcastle United F.C. AFC Champions League Elite	67% · 16% · 15%	Kalshi	37
10-27 10:00	Daejeon Hana Citizen FC – Kobe AFC Champions League Elite	36% · 26% · 38%	Kalshi	33
10-27 10:00	JD Gaming – Talent Gaming King Pro League (KPL)	45% · — · 54%	Polymarket	0
10-27 10:00	Seoul Knights – KCC Egis Korea KBL	66% · — · 34%	Kalshi	1
10-27 10:00	Simal – Araz Nakhchivan PFK Azerbaijan Cup	18% · 17% · 63%	Polymarket	3
10-27 11:00	Orlando Magic – BIG CS2	42% · — · 58%	Kalshi	4
10-27 11:00	Alliance – FaZe Tesla Cup	31% · — · 69%	Kalshi	6
10-27 11:00	ByuN – Lambo IntoTheTV x SOOP SC2 League Premier	78% · — · 22%	Polymarket	0
10-27 11:00	Nemiga – DENDELE CS CS2	60% · — · 40%	Kalshi	3
10-27 11:00	Liquid – Aurora Gaming CS2	26% · — · 73%	Polymarket	4
10-27 11:30	Donstu Esports – Invicta CS2	85% · — · 15%	Kalshi	1
10-27 11:30	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel – San Miguel Beermen Philippine Basketball Association	38% · — · 62%	Kalshi	0
10-27 11:30	gothboiclique – WonderKids CS2	76% · — · 24%	Kalshi	2
10-27 11:35	Guangzhou Loong Lions – Beijing Royal Fighters CBA	27% · — · 73%	Kalshi	1
10-27 11:35	Jiangsu Dragons – Fujian Sturgeons CBA	55% · — · 45%	Kalshi	0
10-27 11:35	Qingdao Eagles – Tianjin Pioneers CBA	83% · — · 17%	Kalshi	0
10-27 11:35	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin – Beijing Ducks CBA	17% · — · 82%	Polymarket	1
10-27 11:35	Sichuan Blue Whales – Nanjing Monkey King CBA	62% · — · 37%	Polymarket	0
10-27 11:35	Zhejiang Lions – Liaoning Flying Leopards CBA	55% · — · 45%	Kalshi	6
10-27 11:40	MaxPax – Bunny IntoTheTV x SOOP SC2 League Premier	50% · — · 50%	Polymarket	0
10-27 12:00	Xinjiang Flying Tigers – Zhejiang Golden Bulls CBA	33% · — · 67%	Kalshi	1
10-27 12:00	ex-RUSTEC – Spirit Academy CS2	52% · — · 48%	Kalshi	2
10-27 12:00	FOKUS – Nuclear TigeRES CS2	52% · — · 48%	Kalshi	1
10-27 12:00	No Hoodwink – Mena Warriors Dota 2	81% · — · 19%	Kalshi	1
10-27 12:15	Beijing Guoan – Jeonbuk FC AFC Champions League Elite	41% · 25% · 32%	Kalshi	17
10-27 12:15	Ratchaburi FC – Kashiwa Reysol AFC Champions League Elite	13% · 15% · 70%	Kalshi	17
10-27 12:40	Abha Saudi Club – Al Faisaly Saudi Club Saudi Professional League	36% · 28% · 35%	Polymarket	61
10-27 13:00	Gabala FK – Energetik Mingechevir Azerbaijan Cup	95% · 4% · <1%	Polymarket	3
10-27 13:00	Astra Invicta – Legion Dota 2	67% · — · 33%	Kalshi	1
10-27 13:30	Inner Circle Esports – Team Nemesis CS2	71% · — · 29%	Kalshi	32
10-27 13:30	Inter Milano U23 – S.S. Scafatese Calcio 1922 Serie C	44% · 26% · 30%	Kalshi	2
10-27 14:00	MGS Panserraïkós – GS Níki Vólou Greek Cup	49% · 27% · 23%	Polymarket	2
10-27 14:00	Sabail FK – Zira FK Azerbaijan Cup	17% · 23% · 58%	Polymarket	11
10-27 14:00	TheMongolz – Legacy CS2	44% · — · 55%	Polymarket	2
10-27 14:00	Team Spirit – MOUZ CS2	54% · — · 46%	Kalshi	1
10-27 14:30	MORROW – maybe CS2	42% · — · 58%	Kalshi	0
10-27 14:30	Legion – BetBoom Dota 2	32% · — · 68%	Kalshi	0
10-27 15:00	PFC Cherno More Varna – Septemvri Sofia PFC Parva Liga	58% · 25% · 17%	Polymarket	2
10-27 15:00	BakS eSports – Saint Sinners CS2	59% · — · 40%	Kalshi	1
10-27 15:30	AGS Astéras Trípolis – AE Kifisiás Greek Cup	39% · 30% · 31%	Polymarket	1
10-27 16:00	Shabab AlAhli Dubai Club – Esteghlal AFC Champions League Elite	53% · 28% · 17%	Kalshi	1
10-27 16:00	Astralis – fnatic CS2	56% · — · 44%	Kalshi	15
10-27 16:00	NK Radomlje – Mura Murska Sobota Slovenian PrvaLiga	31% · 27% · 42%	Polymarket	7
10-27 16:00	Sabah Baku – Nanterre Basketball Champions League	31% · — · 68%	Polymarket	0
10-27 16:00	BC Dubai – Paris Basketball Euroleague Basketball	81% · — · 18%	Polymarket	0
10-27 16:00	Bahçeşehir Koleji S.K. – P.A.O.K. B.C. EuroCup	63% · — · 37%	Kalshi	0
10-27 16:00	Dubai Basketball – Paris Basketball Euroleague Basketball	81% · — · 19%	Kalshi	0
10-27 16:00	JK Narva Trans – FC Nomme United Meistriliiga	23% · 21% · 54%	Polymarket	13
10-27 16:00	FCI Levadia Tallinn – Tartu JK Tammeka Meistriliiga	74% · 14% · 10%	Polymarket	8
10-27 16:00	BetBoom – Astra Invicta Dota 2	48% · — · 52%	Kalshi	0
10-27 16:00	SINQU – MORROW CS2	50% · — · 49%	Polymarket	0
10-27 16:00	Spirit Academy Green – Younglings CS2	53% · — · 47%	Polymarket	0
10-27 16:30	CSKA Moscow – Parma Perm VTB United League	92% · — · 7%	Polymarket	0
10-27 16:30	Lahti Basketball – Kipina Basket Finland Korisliiga	65% · — · 35%	Kalshi	0
10-27 16:30	Helsinki Seagulls – Salon Vilpas Vikings Finland Korisliiga	38% · — · 62%	Kalshi	0
10-27 16:30	eSuba – Winx CS2	51% · — · 48%	Polymarket	1
10-27 17:00	aimers – Banger Gang ESEA	45% · — · 55%	Kalshi	1
10-27 17:00	VfL Bochum – 1. FSV Mainz 05 DFB Pokal	17% · 21% · 60%	Kalshi	6
10-27 17:00	Großaspach – FC Augsburg DFB Pokal	9% · 14% · 75%	Kalshi	8
10-27 17:00	Hamburg – Eintracht Frankfurt DFB Pokal	28% · 25% · 46%	Kalshi	6
10-27 17:00	Rot-Weiss Essen – Leipzig DFB Pokal	6% · 10% · 82%	Kalshi	12
10-27 17:00	GNK Dinamo Zagreb – HNK Rijeka HNL	58% · 23% · 18%	Polymarket	14
10-27 17:00	First Vienna FC 1894 – SK Rapid Wien OFB Cup	13% · 18% · 68%	Polymarket	25
10-27 17:00	FK Austria Wien – TSV Egger Glas Hartberg OFB Cup	50% · 26% · 24%	Polymarket	5
10-27 17:00	Luminosity – HOTU Tesla Cup	55% · — · 45%	Kalshi	8
10-27 17:00	Vitality Rising Bees – Mental Rush LGC Rising	65% · — · 34%	Polymarket	2
10-27 17:00	Balkan Botevgrad – Bàsquet Manresa EuroCup	15% · — · 85%	Kalshi	0
10-27 17:00	BC Lietkabelis Panevezys – Ulm Basketball EuroCup	59% · — · 41%	Kalshi	0
10-27 17:00	BK Iskra Svit – BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia SBL	20% · — · 80%	Kalshi	0
10-27 17:00	KK Krka Novo Mesto – KK Sencur Slovenia 1. SKL	86% · — · 14%	Kalshi	1
10-27 17:00	FURIA – TYLOO CS2	91% · — · 9%	Kalshi	7
10-27 17:00	Team Vitality – Natus Vincere CS2	70% · — · 30%	Kalshi	2
10-27 17:30	US Sassuolo Calcio – SS Lazio Serie A	27% · 26% · 45%	Kalshi	96
10-27 17:30	CD Cuarte – Girona Copa del Rey	4% · 12% · 83%	Polymarket	7
10-27 17:30	WSC Hertha Wels – RZ Pellets Wolfsberger AC OFB Cup	18% · 24% · 57%	Polymarket	2
10-27 17:30	FC Arda – PFC Levski Sofia Parva Liga	15% · 27% · 57%	Polymarket	7
10-27 17:45	SV Excelsior'31 – ADO Den Haag KNVB Beker	7% · 11% · 82%	Polymarket	12
10-27 18:00	Benevento Calcio – Unione Sportiva Catanzaro Serie B	56% · 23% · 20%	Polymarket	37
10-27 18:00	UD Pinatar – Elche CF Copa del Rey	1% · 4% · 93%	Polymarket	15
10-27 18:00	CF Calamocha – CE Europa Copa del Rey	20% · 25% · 54%	Polymarket	6
10-27 18:00	Sestao River Club – RCD Espanyol de Barcelona Copa del Rey	12% · 20% · 67%	Polymarket	27
10-27 18:00	Grazer AK 1902 – SC Rheindorf Altach OFB Cup	38% · 28% · 33%	Polymarket	8
10-27 18:00	FC Koper – NK Maribor Slovenian PrvaLiga	35% · 26% · 38%	Polymarket	15
10-27 18:00	AIK – IF Elfsborg Allsvenskan	29% · 25% · 45%	Polymarket	13
10-27 18:00	Bamberg Baskets – Pallacanestro Varese Basketball Champions League	63% · — · 36%	Polymarket	0
10-27 18:00	Landskrona BoIS – Varbergs BoIS Superettan	48% · 24% · 26%	Polymarket	19
10-27 18:00	Unico Atletico Pinatarense – Elche CF Copa del Rey	2% · 5% · 93%	Kalshi	0
10-27 18:00	MIBR GC – Gentle Mates GC Valorant	52% · — · 47%	Polymarket	0
10-27 18:00	Gentle Mates GC – MIBR Female Valorant	49% · — · 51%	Kalshi	1
10-27 18:00	Inner Circle Academy – Lavked CS2	66% · — · 34%	Kalshi	1
10-27 18:00	BC Prievidza – Bakken Bears FIBA Europe Cup	62% · — · 37%	Kalshi	0
10-27 18:00	angry birds – Rottweilas Latam Dota 2	81% · — · 18%	Polymarket	0
10-27 18:00	Fraternity – PARTIZAN CS2	27% · — · 72%	Polymarket	0
10-27 18:00	BOJONG – eSuba CS2	43% · — · 57%	Polymarket	0
10-27 18:04	Nassjo Basket – Sloga Uppsala Sweden SBL	80% · — · 20%	Kalshi	0
10-27 18:04	Sodertalje BBK – Uppsala Basket Sweden SBL	80% · — · 19%	Kalshi	0
10-27 18:04	Hogsbo Basket – Koping Stars Sweden SBL	55% · — · 44%	Kalshi	0
10-27 18:04	KFUM Umea – BC Lulea Sweden SBL	14% · — · 86%	Kalshi	0
10-27 18:15	Al-Shamal – Al Hilal SFC AFC Champions League Elite	12% · 16% · 72%	Kalshi	16
10-27 18:30	MIBR – Eternal Fire CS2	63% · — · 37%	Kalshi	2
10-27 18:30	Fraport Skyliners – U-BT Cluj-Napoca EuroCup	47% · — · 53%	Kalshi	0
10-27 18:30	Skyliners Frankfurt – FC Universitatea Cluj EuroCup	47% · — · 52%	Polymarket	0
10-27 18:45	UD Castellonense – Unión Deportiva Almería Copa del Rey	12% · 19% · 67%	Polymarket	4
10-27 19:00	Calcio Padova – F.C. Südtirol Serie B	39% · 30% · 29%	Polymarket	9
10-27 19:00	LR Vicenza – Modena F.C. Serie B	26% · 27% · 46%	Polymarket	14

Chances are the platforms’ displayed prices (Polymarket best ask, Kalshi last trade), quoted per side and not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.

How often the market favorite wins

In the last 7 days (2026-10-20 to 2026-10-27), the side with the highest pre-kickoff chance won 1244 of 2095 finished matches with a pre-kickoff price — 59.4%. Over 30 days: 61.6% of 7808 matches.

Favorite’s pre-kickoff chance (30d)	Matches	Favorite won	Hit rate
<50%	1764	759	43.0%
50-60%	1919	1006	52.4%
60-75%	2365	1562	66.0%
75+%	1760	1480	84.1%

Sport (7d)	Matches	Favorite won	Hit rate
soccer	1131	586	51.8%
esports	508	326	64.2%
basketball	434	315	72.6%
football	18	14	77.8%
baseball	4	3	75.0%

Method: the last price within 24 hours before kickoff; the side with the highest chance is the favorite. Soccer counts only three-way markets that include a draw price.

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Data updated 2026-10-27 06:34 UTC

Polymarket & Kalshi sports probabilities today

How often the market favorite wins

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