La Liga ·
Santander vs Real Madrid prediction for 1 Nov 2026, 15:15 UTC (La Liga): 170 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 91% backing Real Madrid to win. Prediction-market win probability: Santander <1%, the draw <1%, Real Madrid 98% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Santander <1% · Draw <1% · Real Madrid 98% (updated )
Real Madrid is the prediction-market favourite at 98% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-01 16:51 UTC+0). Of 78 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 71 (91%) back Real Madrid to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 84% of 1786 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-01 16:51 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: Santander <1% · Draw <1% · Real Madrid 98%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
170 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Santander 4 (5%) · Draw 3 (4%) · Real Madrid 71 (91%).
Santander, last 5: W L D L L. Real Madrid, last 5: W W W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-01 16:51 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
170 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Santander to win 4 (5%) · the draw 3 (4%) · Real Madrid to win 71 (91%).
| 2026-10-24 | vs Espanyol | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Osasuna | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-12 | vs Valencia | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Celta Vigo | 0:5 | L |
| 2026-09-17 | vs FC Barcelona | 2:7 | L |
| 2026-10-26 | vs FC Barcelona | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Leipzig | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-10-19 | vs Sevilla FC | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Espanyol | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | vs AS Roma | 4:3 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | influential.teal2368 Kalshi | Kylian Mbappe: 2+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Erikin Kalshi | Kylian Mbappe: 3+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | intimate.lizard3145 Kalshi | Under 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | GJBISTA Kalshi | Over 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | theboyluis Kalshi | RMA -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | R3CKL3S Kalshi | RMA -4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | flat.puma3393 Kalshi | Yassir Zabiri: 1+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | stale.bobcat5634 Kalshi | Final score Real Madrid wins 5-0 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | RC7figz Kalshi | Kylian Mbappe: 2+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | NAVI143 Kalshi | RMA -4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | mikej Kalshi | Both Teams To Score | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | grand.gull4044 Kalshi | RMA -4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | super.orangutan1407 Kalshi | Final score Real Madrid wins 6-1 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | super.orangutan1407 Kalshi | Final score Real Madrid wins 5-0 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | super.orangutan1407 Kalshi | Final score Real Madrid wins 5-1 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | super.orangutan1407 Kalshi | Final score Real Madrid wins 4-0 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Visca.Barca26 Kalshi | Over 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | hkin Kalshi | Both Teams To Score | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | prepared.trout9736 Kalshi | Arda Guler: 1+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Htx.k3vinhoo Kalshi | Team Over 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | unexpected.mandrill1470 Kalshi | Over 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | mirandafer Kalshi | RMA -3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Swayyy1 Kalshi | RMA -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | isolated.woodduck8359 Kalshi | Both Teams To Score | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Dewzarbar09 Kalshi | Arda Guler: 1+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Elmaje503 Kalshi | Over 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | juver Kalshi | Real Madrid wins 3-0 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Dewzarbar09 Kalshi | Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | alexxxinwondrland Kalshi | Team Over 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | clis41 Kalshi | Final score Real Madrid wins 6-1 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Alpha07Uchiha Kalshi | Kylian Mbappe: 3+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Alpha07Uchiha Kalshi | RMA -3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | abundant.aardwolf2680 Kalshi | RMA -3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | YoungGAAH Kalshi | Kylian Mbappe: 2+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | electrical.songbird2578 Kalshi | Kylian Mbappe: 2+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | YoungGAAH Kalshi | Arda Guler: 1+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | comeupontheway Kalshi | Team Over 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | horrible.trout9755 Kalshi | Over 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Eduardinho Kalshi | Arda Guler: 1+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | revolutionary.coral3716 Kalshi | Yan Diomande: 2+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | veneto Kalshi | Under 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | clis41 Kalshi | Final score Real Madrid wins 6-0 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | GJBISTA Kalshi | Kylian Mbappe: 2+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | miguel24 Kalshi | Team Over 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | habibim3 Kalshi | Over 6.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | flat.puma3393 Kalshi | Kylian Mbappe: 2+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | enlightener Kalshi | RMA -4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Mikul Kalshi | Under 6.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | 0mar.2sexy Kalshi | Over 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | s2000.ap1 Kalshi | RMA -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | alexxxinwondrland Kalshi | Real Madrid wins 3-0 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | alexxxinwondrland Kalshi | RMA -3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | alexxxinwondrland Kalshi | RMA -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | boychild Kalshi | Over 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | isolated.woodduck8359 Kalshi | Over 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | clis41 Kalshi | Final score Real Madrid wins 5-0 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | habibim3 Kalshi | Team Under 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | enlightener Kalshi | 1H Over 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | mukworld Kalshi | Over 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Visca.Barca26 Kalshi | 1H Under 2.5 | Pending |