Kalshi · Football
primary.sloth9950 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 35 picks, 82.9% win rate, $268 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 42 won, 18 lost, 70.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 15 | 15 | 9 | 60.0% |
| Brasileiro Serie A | 13 | 13 | 9 | 69.2% |
| La Liga | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| Nations League | 8 | 8 | 7 | 87.5% |
| Premier League | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Champions League | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
primary.sloth9950 mainly predicts World Cup: 15 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 82.9% hit rate over 35 orders, P&L $268, ROI 23.8%. In World Cup, 9 of 15 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-24 11:31 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 2:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Real Madrid 4:1 Leipzig Champions League | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Viking FK 3:3 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Champions League | Bayern Munich wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:3 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Barcelona 3:0 Getafe CF La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | France 4:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | France wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2:4 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 4:0 Bolivia men's national football team (Bolivia) Intl Friendlies | Bolivia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:4 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Intl Friendlies | Brazil wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Turkiye 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico 2:1 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Palmeiras 2:0 Sao Paulo Brasileiro Serie A | Sao Paulo wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Real Madrid 4:1 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Valencia 0:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1:0 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:2 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) Premier League | Liverpool vs Nottingham Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Bilbao La Liga | Barcelona vs Bilbao Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro) 3:1 Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) Brasileiro Serie A | Cruzeiro vs Mirassol Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro) 3:1 Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) Brasileiro Serie A | Cruzeiro vs Mirassol Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 1:2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Club Friendlies | Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) 1:3 CR Vasco da Gama (Vasco da Gama) Copa do Brasil | Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama: Fluminense To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Palmeiras 3:0 Fortaleza E.C. (Fortaleza) Copa do Brasil | Palmeiras vs Fortaleza Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Coritiba F.C. (Coritiba) 0:1 Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro) Brasileiro Serie A | Coritiba vs Cruzeiro Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | S.C. Internacional (SC Internacional) 1:1 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) Brasileiro Serie A | Internacional vs Flamengo Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Vitoria 0:4 Palmeiras Brasileiro Serie A | Vitoria vs Palmeiras Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Tigre 1:2 CD Nacional CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Tigre vs Nacional: Nacional To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Sao Paulo 1:2 Paranaense Brasileiro Serie A | Sao Paulo vs Paranaense Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (Chapecoense) 0:4 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) Brasileiro Serie A | Chapecoense vs Flamengo Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Coritiba F.C. (Coritiba) 1:3 Palmeiras Brasileiro Serie A | Coritiba vs Palmeiras Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) 1:1 Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) Brasileiro Serie A | Fluminense vs Bragantino Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) 2:1 Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) Brasileiro Serie A | Mirassol vs Gremio Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Bahia 2:0 Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (Chapecoense) Brasileiro Serie A | Bahia vs Chapecoense Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Goteborg 2:1 IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan | Goteborg vs Brommapojkarna Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Botafogo FC 2:1 Santos F.C. (Santos FC) Brasileiro Serie A | Botafogo vs Santos Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Aucas 0:3 Ind. del Valle Ecuador LigaPro | Aucas vs Ind. del Valle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |