MLB ·
Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction for 16 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC (MLB): 291 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 66% backing Tampa Bay Rays to win. Prediction-market win probability: Cleveland Guardians 1%, Tampa Bay Rays 99% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Cleveland Guardians 1% · Tampa Bay Rays 99% (updated )
Tampa Bay Rays is the prediction-market favourite at 99% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-02 08:01 UTC+0). Of 228 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 150 (66%) back Tampa Bay Rays to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 84% of 1801 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-02 08:01 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: Cleveland Guardians 1% · Tampa Bay Rays 99%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
291 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Cleveland Guardians 78 (34%) · Tampa Bay Rays 150 (66%).
Cleveland Guardians, last 5: W L W W W. Tampa Bay Rays, last 5: L W L W W. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (Cleveland Guardians wins – draws – Tampa Bay Rays wins): 2-0-3; latest 2026-10-16: Cleveland Guardians 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-02 08:01 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
291 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Cleveland Guardians to win 78 (34%) · Tampa Bay Rays to win 150 (66%).
| 2026-10-16 | vs Tampa Bay Rays | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Tampa Bay Rays | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-13 | vs Tampa Bay Rays | 7:3 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Chicago White Sox | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-09 | vs Chicago White Sox | 9:5 | W |
| 2026-10-16 | vs Cleveland Guardians | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Cleveland Guardians | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-13 | vs Cleveland Guardians | 3:7 | L |
| 2026-10-08 | vs New York Yankees | 4:3 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | vs New York Yankees | 5:2 | W |
| 2026-10-16 | Cleveland Guardians | 3:2 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 2026-10-14 | Tampa Bay Rays | 3:1 | Cleveland Guardians |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays | 3:7 | Cleveland Guardians |
| 2026-07-26 | Tampa Bay Rays | 1:0 | Cleveland Guardians |
| 2026-07-26 | Tampa Bay Rays | 3:0 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | yaigh Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | still.brain Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | shenchu Kalshi | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | guillerami Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Cpgboogs Kalshi | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | mnen04 Kalshi | TB -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | grannys.bazooka Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Reynosoplays559 Kalshi | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | greenlight7 Kalshi | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | gamblin.Ohtani Kalshi | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Fendell24 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | managerial.bee0932 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Gallo34 Kalshi | Team Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | lizzz Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | gamblin.Ohtani Kalshi | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | bad.trait Kalshi | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | better.anglerfish8564 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Dom.santos Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | prime.doberman1404 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | blake333 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | ReadOnly Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | hand.beam Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Elias11 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | quickest.bullfrog3990 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | MrPompasticLoverShagy33.3 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Reynosoplays559 Kalshi | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | cliffclavin30 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | TylerGolfPro Kalshi | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | dabidt77 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Bmoney9035 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | miasoleil Kalshi | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Overheadru Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | runitupleo Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | cochi667ATM Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | jesusptown Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | small.mine Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | longdong.crosby Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Elias.bautista Kalshi | TB -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | eperezteuffer Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | attractive.clownfish7690 Kalshi | TB +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | electric.albatross4833 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | tdensmore Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Operasunny Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | run.car Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Gallo34 Kalshi | Team Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | dcarlo8 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Torres13 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | steam.glove Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | BigShow201 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | TopmodelD Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | blow.me Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | perdedor1 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | 0FKSGVN Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | sketchyD Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | huntiis Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Lorenzini822015 Kalshi | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | JZ2588 Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | greenlight7 Kalshi | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | hax.meowingtons Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | mangehouse Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |