Kalshi · Basketball · American football · Top pro · Active
abistate is a NBA pro on Kalshi: 78 picks, 75.7% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 38 won, 22 lost, 63.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58.8% |
| Serie A | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Peru Liga 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Liga MX | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
abistate mainly predicts NBA: 17 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.7% hit rate over 78 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 25.3%. In NBA, 10 of 17 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-30 04:11 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WWLLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Portland Trail Blazers 103:124 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Under 227.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Portland Trail Blazers 103:124 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Memphis wins | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Oaxaca 1:0 Zacatecas Liga de Expansion MX | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Green Bay Packers 27:19 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) 0:1 Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro) Brasileiro Serie A | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Club Sporting Cristal (Sporting Cristal) 3:2 Club Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Club Sporting Cristal (Sporting Cristal) 3:2 Club Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) 2:2 Atalanta BC (Atalanta) Serie A | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) 2:2 Atalanta BC (Atalanta) Serie A | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Frosinone Calcio 5:1 US Lecce Serie A | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Volos 1:3 Atromitos Athinon Greek Cup | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Los Angeles Clippers 87:103 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | Under 197.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | America 1:1 Club Tijuana Liga MX | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Seattle 0:1 Houston MLS | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Seattle 0:1 Houston MLS | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Utah Jazz 111:117 San Antonio Spurs NBA | San Antonio wins | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 1:1 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) EFL Cup | Liverpool To Advance | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Genoa CFC (Genoa) 2:0 Juventus FC Serie A | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Pisa SC 3:3 Palermo F.C. (Palermo FC) Serie B | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | IF Brommapojkarna 0:0 BK Häcken (BK Hacken) Allsvenskan | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | FC Cajamarca 1:3 UTC de Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) 0:2 Inter Milan (Inter) Serie A | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Asociación Deportiva Tarma (Asociacion Deportiva Tarma) 2:0 Ucv Moquegua Peru Liga 1 | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Panathinaikos F.C. (Panathinaikos) 2:1 Aris Thessaloniki Greek Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | National Bank Egypt 1:1 Al Masry SC (Al Masry) Egyptian Premier League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Tampa Bay Rays 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | New York Knicks 111:97 Detroit Pistons NBA | Under 204.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Boston Celtics 125:124 Brooklyn Nets NBA | Brooklyn wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Rot-Weiss Essen 1:2 Leipzig DFB Pokal | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Beijing Guoan 2:2 Jeonbuk FC AFC Champions League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Denver Nuggets 114:134 Golden State Warriors NBA | Under 245.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Denver Nuggets 114:134 Golden State Warriors NBA | Under 241.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Houston Rockets 120:110 Atlanta Hawks NBA | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Utah Jazz 105:110 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Memphis wins | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Cleveland Cavaliers 127:125 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | C.D. Santa Clara (Santa Clara Azores) 1:2 S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) Liga Portugal | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Copenhagen 1:1 Odense Boldklub (Odense BK) Danish Superliga | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Copenhagen 1:1 Odense Boldklub (Odense BK) Danish Superliga | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Besiktas 2:0 İstanbul Başakşehir F.K. (Basaksehir) Super Lig | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Mohun Bagan 1:0 Chennaiyin FC Indian Super League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia 0:0 Makassar Indonesia Super League | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Club Tijuana 4:1 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Liga MX | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | America 1:2 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | New York Knicks 102:111 Orlando Magic NBA | OG Anunoby: 20+ points | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | New York Knicks 102:111 Orlando Magic NBA | OG Anunoby: 15+ points | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Minnesota Timberwolves 117:94 Toronto Raptors NBA | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Jazz 123:132 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | Utah wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Atlanta Hawks 114:121 Houston Rockets NBA | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Charlotte Hornets 115:110 Miami Heat NBA | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | South Carolina Gamecocks 27:24 Tennessee NCAAF | Tennessee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | R.C. Lens (Lens) 2:1 Paris FC Ligue 1 | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Atlanta Dream 62:67 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Under 140.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 1:0 Eintracht Frankfurt (Frankfurt) Bundesliga | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 3:3 AS Roma Serie A | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Santander 2:1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) La Liga | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Santander 2:1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) La Liga | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 0:1 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) 0:3 Elche CF La Liga | Under 3.5 | Won |