Intl Friendlies ·
Palestine vs Iran prediction for 14 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC (Intl Friendlies). Prediction-market win probability: Palestine 9%, the draw 19%, Iran 72% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Palestine 9% · Draw 19% · Iran 72% (updated )
Iran is the prediction-market favourite at 72% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-14 04:45 UTC+0). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 66% of 2610 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-14 04:45 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: Palestine 9% · Draw 19% · Iran 72%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Palestine, last 4: W W D D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-14 04:45 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-02 | vs China PR | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Tajikistan | 4:2 | W |
| 2026-09-24 | vs New Zealand | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-06-09 | vs Kyrgyzstan | 0:0 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | xeric.nightingale2421 Kalshi | Palestine wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Khalilayyoobi Kalshi | Iran wins | Pending |