Kalshi · Football
amende444 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 18 picks, 77.8% win rate, $484 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 57 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 56 have settled: 30 won, 26 lost, 53.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 15 | 15 | 11 | 73.3% |
| La Liga | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| NCAAF | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| NFL | 7 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Bundesliga | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| Intl Friendlies | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
amende444 mainly predicts World Cup: 15 of the last 57 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 77.8% hit rate over 18 orders, P&L $484, ROI 38.7%. In World Cup, 11 of 15 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-25 17:47 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Final score Draw 2-2 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Atletico 1:0 Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) La Liga | ATM +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Atletico 1:0 Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) La Liga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Jacksonville wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | Nebraska wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 10:21 New Mexico Lobos NCAAF | Hawai'i wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 10:21 New Mexico Lobos NCAAF | New Mexico wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Houston 35:32 Oklahoma State Cowboys NCAAF | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Boston College Eagles 27:21 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Purdue Boilermakers 26:38 Washington NCAAF | Purdue wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Sam Houston Bearkats 3:16 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAAF | Western Kentucky wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Pumas UNAM 3:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Cruz Azul wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Pumas UNAM 3:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:23 Denver Broncos NFL | Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Commanders 27:27 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Cagliari Calcio 1:1 Juventus FC Serie A | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Augsburg 2:2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Bundesliga | Augsburg wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | MEX +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | Chile wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | England men's national association football team (England) 3:0 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) Nations League | Harry Kane: First Goalscorer | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | India men's national football team (India) 1:6 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) Intl Friendlies | India wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | India men's national football team (India) 1:6 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | America 2:2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) 1:1 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 2:3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Aston Villa wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 2:3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 7:0 1. FC Union Berlin (Union Berlin) Bundesliga | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 7:0 1. FC Union Berlin (Union Berlin) Bundesliga | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Schalke 04 (Schalke) 0:0 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Bundesliga | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Tijuana de Caliente 2:0 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Pumas UNAM Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Alaves vs Villarreal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 5:1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga | Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Bilbao La Liga | Barcelona vs Bilbao Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:4 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Leeds United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham) 2:2 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Birmingham vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | 8+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Spain: 10+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Tunisia vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Raul Jimenez: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs South Africa Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |