Men's College Basketball ·
Troy vs UMass prediction for 3 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC (Men's College Basketball). Prediction-market win probability: Troy 57%, UMass 43% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Troy 57% · UMass 43% (updated )
Troy is the prediction-market favourite at 57% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-02 18:35 UTC+0). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 51% of 2068 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-02 18:35 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: Troy 57% · UMass 43%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Troy, last 5: L W W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-02 18:35 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-03-19 | vs Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47:76 | L |
| 2026-03-10 | vs Georgia Southern Eagles | 77:61 | W |
| 2026-03-09 | vs Southern Miss | 78:70 | W |
| 2026-02-28 | vs UL Monroe | 80:65 | W |
| 2026-02-25 | vs Louisiana-Lafayette | 78:59 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | iamernesto Kalshi | TROY -3.5 | Pending |