Kalshi · Football
iamernesto is a NBA pro on Kalshi: 20 picks, 70.0% win rate, $781 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 32 won, 28 lost, 53.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 34 | 34 | 17 | 50.0% |
| NFL | 19 | 19 | 11 | 57.9% |
| NCAAF | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| MLB | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Champions League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
iamernesto mainly predicts NBA: 34 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.0% hit rate over 20 orders, P&L $781, ROI 36.8%. In NBA, 17 of 34 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-27 00:26 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Philadelphia Eagles 21:38 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Tanner McKee: 225+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Oklahoma City Thunder 125:114 Phoenix Suns NBA | Over 218.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Houston Rockets 120:110 Atlanta Hawks NBA | HOU -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Miami Heat 109:113 Dallas Mavericks NBA | Over 237.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Charlotte Hornets 110:103 Washington Wizards NBA | Charlotte wins | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Milwaukee Bucks 110:102 Indiana Pacers NBA | IND -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Utah Jazz 105:110 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Over 236.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Boston Celtics 134:99 Chicago Bulls NBA | BOS -14.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Sacramento Kings 112:123 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Under 236.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Oklahoma City Thunder 108:101 Los Angeles Clippers NBA | Over 223.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | New York Knicks 102:111 Orlando Magic NBA | Under 225.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Jazz 123:132 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | LAL +5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Arizona Cardinals 16:30 Denver Broncos NFL | Jonah Coleman: 15+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | Woody Marks: 60+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Tennessee Titans 24:27 Cleveland Browns NFL | Harold Fannin Jr.: 4+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Atlanta Falcons 29:20 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Brock Purdy: 31+ passing attempts | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | New Orleans Saints 10:16 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | Aaron Rodgers: 250+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Baltimore Ravens 13:35 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | Ja'Marr Chase: 80+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Las Vegas Raiders 21:35 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Tyler Higbee: 40+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Atlanta Falcons 29:20 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Christian McCaffrey: 6+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | UTAH +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Nevada Wolf Pack 28:13 San Jose St. NCAAF | NEV +5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Navy Midshipmen 39:49 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | UNT -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | South Carolina Gamecocks 27:24 Tennessee NCAAF | South Carolina wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Atlanta Hawks 114:121 Houston Rockets NBA | Under 230.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Golden State Warriors 108:111 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | GSW -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Los Angeles Lakers 125:117 Los Angeles Clippers NBA | LAL -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Washington Wizards 102:112 Toronto Raptors NBA | TOR +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Indiana Pacers 105:121 Dallas Mavericks NBA | Under 236.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Miami Heat (Heat) 111:128 Detroit Pistons NBA | Under 237.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Orlando Magic 93:115 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Orlando wins | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Miami Heat (Heat) 111:128 Detroit Pistons NBA | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | San Antonio Spurs 110:114 Houston Rockets NBA | SAS -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Sacramento Kings 120:128 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | POR -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | San Antonio Spurs 110:114 Houston Rockets NBA | Under 223.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Utah Jazz (Jazz) 120:119 New Orleans Pelicans NBA | New Orleans wins | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Philadelphia 76ers 114:106 Cleveland Cavaliers NBA | Under 235.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Las Vegas Raiders 21:35 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Blake Corum: 15+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | D'Andre Swift: 3+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets NBA | OKC +9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Brooklyn Nets 103:110 Charlotte Hornets NBA | Under 219.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Miami Heat (Heat) 106:131 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Over 241.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | BMU +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Houston Rockets 128:110 Dallas Mavericks NBA | HOU +9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Los Angeles Clippers 121:96 Sacramento Kings NBA | Under 228.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Toronto Raptors 135:92 Chicago Bulls NBA | TOR -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Washington Wizards 128:116 Milwaukee Bucks NBA | WAS -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | San Antonio Spurs 104:116 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Oklahoma City wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | NYK +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Detroit Pistons 121:113 Boston Celtics NBA | Over 220.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Rachaad White: 3+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Jayden Daniels: 200+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | George Kittle: 65+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Mike Evans: 70+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 32:35 Appalachian St. NCAAF | Under 51.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Indianapolis Colts 20:26 Tennessee Titans NFL | Daniel Jones: 10+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | New England Patriots 26:19 New York Jets NFL | Hunter Henry: 4+ receptions | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Tucker Kraft: 50+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Atlanta Falcons 23:31 Chicago Bears NFL | Caleb Williams: 25+ rushing yards | Won |