LoL Worlds 2026 · MLB Postseason
WNBA ·
Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury result (106:58) on 11 Jul 2026 (WNBA): 96 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 79% backing Las Vegas Aces to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Las Vegas Aces 106:58 Phoenix Mercury (2026-07-11). Before the result, 79% of 29 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Las Vegas Aces to win — that call was right.
96 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Las Vegas Aces 23 (79%) · Phoenix Mercury 6 (21%).
Las Vegas Aces, last 5: W L W L W. Phoenix Mercury, last 5: L L W W W. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (Las Vegas Aces wins – draws – Phoenix Mercury wins): 4-0-1; latest 2026-06-18: Phoenix Mercury 76:86 Las Vegas Aces.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-07-11 22:27 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
96 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Las Vegas Aces to win 23 (79%) · Phoenix Mercury to win 6 (21%).
| 2026-07-10 | vs Portland Fire | 88:80 | W |
| 2026-07-06 | vs Indiana Fever | 68:84 | L |
| 2026-07-04 | vs Chicago Sky | 98:90 | W |
| 2026-07-01 | vs New York Liberty | 85:93 | L |
| 2026-06-29 | vs Chicago Sky | 107:99 | W |
| 2026-07-10 | vs Indiana Fever | 89:92 | L |
| 2026-07-08 | vs Chicago Sky | 66:77 | L |
| 2026-07-03 | vs Seattle Storm | 90:67 | W |
| 2026-06-28 | vs Toronto Tempo | 89:80 | W |
| 2026-06-25 | vs Indiana Fever | 111:109 | W |
| 2026-06-18 | Phoenix Mercury | 76:86 | Las Vegas Aces |
| 2026-05-10 | Las Vegas Aces | 66:99 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2025-10-11 | Phoenix Mercury | 86:97 | Las Vegas Aces |
| 2025-10-09 | Phoenix Mercury | 88:90 | Las Vegas Aces |
| 2025-10-06 | Las Vegas Aces | 91:78 | Phoenix Mercury |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | imake1mil Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | 15perces Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | BillBenter2026 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | baseinv3 Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces O/U 172.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | imake1mil Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces O/U 172.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | 15perces Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces O/U 172.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | swisstony Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces O/U 172.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | swisstony Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces O/U 171.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Giss2 Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces O/U 169.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | swisstony Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces O/U 173.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Inferior-Traffic Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Inferior-Traffic Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | worrying.dinosaur Kalshi | Under 166.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | SenpaiYosef Kalshi | Over 166.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | fritocheeto Kalshi | Under 166.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | monetary.llama5800 Kalshi | Under 169.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | fritocheeto Kalshi | Over 163.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | loud.whippet9868 Kalshi | Under 166.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | venomanser Kalshi | Over 169.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | worrying.dinosaur Kalshi | LV -45.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | GuruSP Kalshi | Over 163.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | fritocheeto Kalshi | Under 160.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | SenpaiYosef Kalshi | Over 160.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | original.takin Kalshi | LV +51.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | kyphosis Kalshi | LV -51.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | 60daysjay Kalshi | Over 160.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | the1jeremiah Kalshi | LV -48.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | original.takin Kalshi | LV -48.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Steven.y Kalshi | Under 160.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | the1jeremiah Kalshi | Under 43.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | kyphosis Kalshi | LV +48.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | parlayprofit Kalshi | LV -48.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | loud.whippet9868 Kalshi | Under 160.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | worrying.dinosaur Kalshi | LV -36.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | worrying.dinosaur Kalshi | LV -39.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | tarzan.bh Kalshi | LV -39.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | tarzan.bh Kalshi | LV -42.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | greenlight7 Kalshi | Under 160.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | mean.store Kalshi | LV +48.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | notcarlos Kalshi | Over 160.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | uno08102025 Kalshi | LV +48.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | craigland Kalshi | Under 160.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Ssiddiq Kalshi | Over 40.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Dodzilla Kalshi | LV -48.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | side.length Kalshi | 4th Quarter Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | side.length Kalshi | LV -42.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | side.length Kalshi | 4th Quarter Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | zerobyheart Kalshi | LV +45.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Mylifemylife Kalshi | LV -36.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | worrying.dinosaur Kalshi | LV -21.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | 60daysjay Kalshi | LV -42.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | docdoc Kalshi | LV -33.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | hpppppl Kalshi | LV -30.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | rickjamesxxx Kalshi | LV +39.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | worrying.dinosaur Kalshi | LV -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | attemptmost Kalshi | Under 166.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | worrying.dinosaur Kalshi | LV -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | AzizThegoat302 Kalshi | Under 160.5 | Lost |