Kalshi · Football
lost.leaf is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 59 picks, 81.0% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 56 won, 4 lost, 93.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 10 | 10 | 10 | 100.0% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 6 | 6 | 6 | 100.0% |
| Nations League | 6 | 6 | 6 | 100.0% |
| Intl Friendlies | 6 | 6 | 6 | 100.0% |
| Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| NCAAF | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
lost.leaf mainly predicts NFL: 10 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 81.0% hit rate over 59 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 20.8%. In NFL, 10 of 10 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-09 23:08 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Louisville Cardinals 44:20 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | FSU +10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) 3:2 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Mushuc Runa wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) 1:0 Danubio F.C. (Danubio FC) Uruguay Primera Division | Danubio wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Alabama State Hornets 27:28 Florida A&M Rattlers NCAAF | Alabama St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | PARIVISION 2:1 1win BLAST Slam | PARIVISION wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Greece women's national football team (Greece W) 1:3 England women's national football team (England W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Al Fateh SC (Al-Fateh) 0:4 Al Ahli Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Al-Fateh wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Nongshim RedForce 1:2 100 Thieves VCT Champions | 100 Thieves wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Dallas Mavericks 117:135 Houston Rockets NBA | HOU -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Zhejiang Prof. 2:4 Shanghai Port F.C. (Shanghai Port) Chinese Super League | SHP +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Shenzhen Peng City F.C. (Shenzhen Peng City) 2:2 Henan F.C. (Henan FC) Chinese Super League | HEN +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | The Cong - Viettel 1:3 Ha Tinh FC Vietnam V-League 1 | HON +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Florida International Panthers 22:3 New Mexico State Aggies NCAAF | NMSU +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Remo 1:1 Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) Brasileiro Serie A | CR +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | 9z 0:2 FURIA ESL Pro League | FURIA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago Fire FC 3:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Vancouver wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Montserrat 4:1 Turks and Caicos Islands CONCACAF Nations League | Montserrat wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | CRO +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Sacramento Kings 103:127 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | LAL -12.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | CYP +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Liptovsky Mikulas 2:0 1914 Samorin Slovakian 2. Liga | 1914 Samorin wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Mauritius 2:3 Sri Lanka Intl Friendlies | Sri Lanka wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | CD Recoleta 1:2 Club Libertad (Libertad) APF Division de Honor | REC +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Nicaragua men's national football team (Nicaragua) 1:2 Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) CONCACAF Nations League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | DET +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Llaneros 1:2 América de Cali (America Cali) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | AME +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Rio Cuarto 1:2 Racing Club (Racing Avellaneda) Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Bucaramanga 3:1 Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Bucaramanga wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Aruba men's national football team (Aruba) 3:2 Anguilla CONCACAF Nations League | AIA +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | SEA Seahawks 30:23 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | SEA -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN Vikings 15:10 MIA Dolphins NFL | MIA +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | SEA Seahawks 30:23 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | LAC +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Bahamas men's national basketball team (Bahamas) 2:3 Virgin Islands, U.S. CONCACAF Nations League | Bahamas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Raiders 27:30 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | KC +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 0:1 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) Nations League | Wales wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Netherlands 2:1 Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) Nations League | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI Eagles 20:24 Los Angeles Rams NFL | PHI +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 1:1 Mali men's national basketball team (Mali) Intl Friendlies | Mali wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI Eagles 20:24 Los Angeles Rams NFL | LAR +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | New York Giants 36:24 Arizona Cardinals NFL | NYG +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI Eagles 20:24 Los Angeles Rams NFL | PHI +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Natus Vincere 1:2 Team Vitality ESL Pro League | Vitality wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Manchester City WFC 4:2 Arsenal Women English Women's Super League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | WAS Commanders 13:30 IND Colts NFL | IND -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Kyrgyzstan men's national football team (Kyrgyzstan) 3:1 Lebanon men's national basketball team (Lebanon) Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Gijon 3:2 Celta Fortuna La Liga 2 | Celta Fortuna wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Comoros men's national football team (Comoros) 0:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) Intl Friendlies | Comoros wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 1:0 Lithuania men's national football team (Lithuania) Nations League | LTU +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | MEX +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | NYY -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Doosan Bears 6:5 NC Dinos Korea KBO | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Ind. Medellin 2:2 Millonarios Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | MIL +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | USA 4:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | Chile wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Anguilla 0:2 Aruba men's national football team (Aruba) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Botafogo Futebol Clube (Botafogo SP) 2:0 Associação Atlética Ponte Preta (Ponte Preta) Brasileiro Serie B | Botafogo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | French Guiana 1:0 Sint Maarten CONCACAF Nations League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Pereira 1:2 Independ. Santa Fe Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) Nations League | Croatia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Zambia 2:0 Togo men's national football team (Togo) AFCON | TOG +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Ethiopia men's national football team (Ethiopia) 0:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) AFCON | Under 2.5 | Won |