Kalshi · Baseball
stair.ad is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 83 picks, 62.6% win rate, $521 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 36 won, 24 lost, 60.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 44 | 44 | 29 | 65.9% |
| NFL | 16 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% |
stair.ad mainly predicts MLB: 44 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.6% hit rate over 83 orders, P&L $521, ROI 27.7%. In MLB, 29 of 44 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-20 02:44 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | TB -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Las Vegas Raiders 21:35 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Jacksonville wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | LAD +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | MIL +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:1 Cleveland Guardians MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:7 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Josh Allen: 2+ passing touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | James Cook III: 90+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Josh Allen: 200+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Cleveland Guardians 2:0 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Cleveland Guardians 2:0 Chicago White Sox MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Chicago White Sox 5:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | San Diego Padres 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Las Vegas Raiders 27:30 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | KC -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Kenneth Walker: 90+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Houston Astros 4:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Team Under 20.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Rashee Rice: 50+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Patrick Mahomes: 225+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Boston Red Sox 2:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Kansas City Royals 3:5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Kansas City Royals 4:5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | KC -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Kansas City Royals 4:5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Cleveland Guardians 11:1 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Cleveland Guardians 0:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Cleveland Guardians 0:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Toronto Blue Jays 2:13 Kansas City Royals MLB | KC -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:0 Kansas City Royals MLB | TOR +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:0 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Angels 6:8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | CLE -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Angels 6:8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:5 Kansas City Royals MLB | TOR +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:5 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Kansas City Royals 11:7 Detroit Tigers MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Kansas City Royals 11:7 Detroit Tigers MLB | DET +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Kansas City Royals 11:7 Detroit Tigers MLB | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Kansas City Royals 3:1 Detroit Tigers MLB | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Kansas City Royals 5:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Kansas City Royals 5:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Kansas City Royals 9:7 Athletics MLB | ATH +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Kansas City Royals 9:7 Athletics MLB | A's vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Kansas City Royals 4:3 Athletics MLB | ATH +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Kansas City Royals 4:3 Athletics MLB | A's vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Kansas City Royals 9:5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles Angels 0:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Los Angeles Angels 6:7 Kansas City Royals MLB | KC -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Los Angeles Angels 6:7 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | LAD +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |