LoL Worlds 2026 · MLB Postseason
NFL ·
Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs result (27:30) on 4 Oct 2026 (NFL): 536 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 57% backing Kansas City Chiefs to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Las Vegas Raiders 27:30 Kansas City Chiefs (2026-10-04). Before the result, 57% of 373 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Kansas City Chiefs to win — that call was right.
536 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Las Vegas Raiders 160 (43%) · Kansas City Chiefs 213 (57%).
Las Vegas Raiders, last 5: W W W L W. Kansas City Chiefs, last 5: W W W W D. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Las Vegas Raiders wins – draws – Kansas City Chiefs wins): 1-0-1; latest 2026-01-05: Las Vegas Raiders 14:12 Kansas City Chiefs.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 23:44 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
536 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Las Vegas Raiders to win 160 (43%) · Kansas City Chiefs to win 213 (57%).
| 2026-09-28 | vs New Orleans Saints | 35:27 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | 26:14 | W |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Miami Dolphins | 27:13 | W |
| 2026-08-28 | vs San Francisco 49ers | 12:18 | L |
| 2026-08-21 | vs Houston Texans | 22:20 | W |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Miami Dolphins | 24:10 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs IND Colts | 33:30 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Indianapolis Colts | 33:30 | W |
| 2026-09-15 | vs Denver Broncos | 31:10 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Seattle Seahawks | 9:9 | D |
| 2026-01-05 | Las Vegas Raiders | 14:12 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2025-10-20 | Kansas City Chiefs | 31:0 | Las Vegas Raiders |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | hard.shade Kalshi | Tre Tucker: 100+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | hard.shade Kalshi | Travis Kelce: 20+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Paidxae Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | hard.shade Kalshi | Brock Bowers: 100+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | .McLovin. Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | FGMAC815 Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | jujuracks Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | fault.meat Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | JonsaG6 Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | twentytwoclicks Kalshi | KC -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | twentytwoclicks Kalshi | KC -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | fritocheeto Kalshi | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | hard.shade Kalshi | Ashton Jeanty: 70+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Zuwoooo69 Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | keegooz Kalshi | Over 61.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | keegooz Kalshi | KC -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | progressiveplays Kalshi | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | convinced.crab Kalshi | LV -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | SJU2003 Kalshi | Over 58.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | tonypenguin Kalshi | Under 61.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | madvillain69 Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | 10.kxz Kalshi | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacewen16 Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | weight.nut Kalshi | Over 58.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | blind.flag Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | maxchristie10 Kalshi | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | convinced.crab Kalshi | Over 61.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Smooth0perator Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | NevaFold Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | nevafold Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | TheVervePipe Kalshi | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | scared.turtle3133 Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | loop.chunk Kalshi | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | hard.shade Kalshi | Ashton Jeanty: 60+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Zaddy4u Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | hard.shade Kalshi | Cody White: 40+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | mvmogio Kalshi | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | ljsmoovedabiggest Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Mediocre80 Kalshi | KC -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | MikePrivilege Kalshi | Over 58.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | renfielddebergerac Kalshi | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | tonypenguin Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | gmile Kalshi | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | impulse07 Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | can.tail Kalshi | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | jwade Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Hunner. Kalshi | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | strict.beef Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | freddocashinn Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | sharpfade Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Mediocre80 Kalshi | Under 61.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | rileydonner Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | bed.sack69 Kalshi | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | zelwop Kalshi | Over 58.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | sisco3387 Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | BigBankHank45 Kalshi | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | rolisss Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Gio.sierra Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | borrosports Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | bench.juice Kalshi | Kansas City wins | Won |