Kalshi · Football
joseph.silver is a Nations League pro on Kalshi: 46 picks, 78.3% win rate, $407 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 34 won, 26 lost, 56.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 20 | 20 | 13 | 65.0% |
| Champions League | 10 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% |
| La Liga | 8 | 8 | 7 | 87.5% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| Serie A | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Premier League | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
joseph.silver mainly predicts Nations League: 20 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 78.3% hit rate over 46 orders, P&L $407, ROI 20.9%. In Nations League, 13 of 20 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-21 21:06 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WWWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Sevilla FC 2:0 Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) La Liga | Sevilla wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) 1:1 Málaga CF (Malaga) La Liga | Alaves wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Bayern Munich wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | FC Porto 0:1 PSV Eindhoven (Eindhoven) Champions League | Porto wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 4:3 Bodoe/Glimt Champions League | Napoli wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) 2:2 SK Slavia Prague (Slavia Prague) Champions League | Fenerbahce wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 6:0 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) Champions League | Aston Villa wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Bodoe/Glimt 1:0 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Champions League | Dortmund wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Viking FK 3:3 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Champions League | Viking wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:4 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Champions League | Manchester City wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Inter Milan (Inter) 3:4 Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) Champions League | Inter wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Cagliari Calcio 1:1 Juventus FC Serie A | Cagliari wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 5:2 Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) La Liga | Real Betis wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | US Sassuolo Calcio 1:1 AC Milan Serie A | Milan wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) 1:2 Atletico La Liga | Atletico wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 3:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Tigres wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | SS Lazio 3:1 AC Monza Serie A | Lazio wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 5:1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Chelsea wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Martinique 1:1 El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) CONCACAF Nations League | El Salvador wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Estonia men's national football team (Estonia) 0:0 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Nations League | Iceland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Russia men's national football team (Russia) 3:3 Nigeria men's national basketball team (Nigeria) Intl Friendlies | Russia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Cyprus wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | France 4:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Ireland 1:1 Israel men's national football team (Israel) Nations League | Ireland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Kosovo men's national association football team (Kosovo) 1:1 Austria men's national football team (Austria) Nations League | Austria wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) 0:2 Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) CONCACAF Nations League | El Salvador wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3:0 Turkiye Nations League | Belgium wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Martinique 2:1 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) CONCACAF Nations League | HND -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Nicaragua men's national football team (Nicaragua) 0:3 Costa Rica CONCACAF Nations League | Costa Rica wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 0:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) Intl Friendlies | Japan wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 1:0 Trinidad and Tobago men's national football team (Trinidad and Tobago) CONCACAF Nations League | Curacao wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | France wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2:4 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Luxembourg men's national football team (Luxembourg) 0:3 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Nations League | Iceland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 1:2 Rwanda men's national basketball team (Rwanda) AFCON | Cape Verde wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Russia men's national football team (Russia) 2:0 IR Iran Intl Friendlies | Russia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Guinea Bissau 3:0 Nigeria men's national basketball team (Nigeria) AFCON | Nigeria wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Ethiopia men's national football team (Ethiopia) 0:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) AFCON | Senegal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Gibraltar men's national football team (Gibraltar) 0:0 Andorra Nations League | Andorra wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 3:1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Sweden wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Kosovo men's national association football team (Kosovo) Nations League | Austria wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Saint-Martin 0:2 Virgin Islands, U.S. CONCACAF Nations League | Virgin Islands, U.S. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2:0 Wales men's national association football team (Wales) Nations League | Denmark wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 2:1 Romania men's national association football team (Romania) Nations League | Sweden wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Poland men's national football team (Poland) 0:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) Nations League | Poland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Costa Rica 3:4 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) CONCACAF Nations League | Costa Rica wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Israel men's national football team (Israel) Nations League | Austria wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Turkiye 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) Nations League | Norway wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Juventus FC 2:0 Atalanta BC (Atalanta) Serie A | Juventus wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 5:3 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Getafe CF 1:0 Málaga CF (Malaga) La Liga | Getafe wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Eintracht Frankfurt (Frankfurt) 2:2 SC Freiburg Bundesliga | Frankfurt wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | FC Barcelona 7:2 Santander La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |