Champions League ·
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid prediction for 4 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC (Champions League): 24 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 76% backing Real Madrid to win. Prediction-market win probability: AEK Athens 8%, the draw 13%, Real Madrid 78% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: AEK Athens 8% · Draw 13% · Real Madrid 78% (updated )
Real Madrid is the prediction-market favourite at 78% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-02 10:53 UTC+0). Of 17 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 13 (76%) back Real Madrid to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 84% of 1798 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-02 10:53 UTC+0, Polymarket shows: AEK Athens 8% · Draw 13% · Real Madrid 78%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
24 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: AEK Athens 3 (18%) · Draw 1 (6%) · Real Madrid 13 (76%).
AEK Athens, last 5: L L W L L. Real Madrid, last 5: W W W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-02 10:53 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
24 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: AEK Athens to win 3 (18%) · the draw 1 (6%) · Real Madrid to win 13 (76%).
| 2026-11-02 | vs Panathinaikos Athens | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-29 | vs PAOK | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Panaitolikos Agrinio | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-10-21 | vs Manchester City FC | 1:5 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Shakhtar | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Santander | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Real Racing Club | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-10-26 | vs FC Barcelona | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Leipzig | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-10-19 | vs Sevilla FC | 4:1 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | dacthenuac Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | TrippleEX Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | TrippleEX Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | nutildah Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | 0x765e…36dd Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | ValiBB Polymarket | Real Madrid CF -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Real Madrid CF -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Grandiose-Care Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | bobjberg Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | TrippleEX Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | manvsrice42 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | =3= Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | TheOnlyDude Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Satisfied-Brocolli Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | porfirio10 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Pro100Best Polymarket | Real Madrid CF -2.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Jammo11 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | nutildah Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | dv-pm Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Pro100Best Polymarket | Real Madrid CF -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Taroooooo Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | dv-pm Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | notshaynecoppin Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | 0x287d…a8c1 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | mado25y Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | 0x1372…4ce0 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | defensive.puppy8786 Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | lbtrading Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | shy.blackbird5866 Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-30 | Knowing-Narrative Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-30 | lizart Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-29 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-29 | maraya Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-28 | chorraleg Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | nigiri99 Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | OranG3 Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | Khalilayyoobi Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-25 | dacthenuac Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-25 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-25 | dacthenuac Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-25 | Flaznorp Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-25 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-25 | Amazing-Accommodation Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-24 | Amazing-Accommodation Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-24 | Mysouil Polymarket | Real Madrid CF -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-24 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-24 | 0x79f5…79c7 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | 0x79f5…79c7 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | justanogdataguy Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Gaditima Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | 0xb34c…449c Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Grumpy-Oven Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Grumpy-Oven Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Threekidsdre Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |