Kalshi · Baseball
Natelarson is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 24 picks, 62.5% win rate, $363 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 28 won, 31 lost, 47.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 30 | 30 | 13 | 43.3% |
| NFL | 18 | 17 | 8 | 47.1% |
| MLB | 12 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% |
Natelarson mainly predicts NCAAF: 30 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.5% hit rate over 24 orders, P&L $363, ROI 38.2%. In NCAAF, 13 of 30 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-24 23:03 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LLLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | UCF Knights 39:31 BYU Cougars NCAAF | BYU wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Alabama Crimson Tide 31:20 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | ALA +10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Stanford Cardinal 31:28 NC St. NCAAF | NCST -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Virginia Cavaliers 16:19 Duke Blue Devils NCAAF | UVA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Memphis Tigers 41:34 East Carolina Pirates NCAAF | MEM -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | CHI +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | SF -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Penn 27:28 Columbia Lions NCAAF | Columbia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:1 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | SF +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Commanders 27:27 New York Giants NFL | Washington wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | PHI -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona State Sun Devils 30:12 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | ASU -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona State Sun Devils 30:12 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | ASU -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | TB +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | 1H Under 23.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Kennesaw State Owls 26:27 Jacksonville State Gamecocks NCAAF | KENN +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Kennesaw State Owls 26:27 Jacksonville State Gamecocks NCAAF | JVST +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | 1H Under 23.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cleveland Guardians 3:4 Chicago White Sox MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Raiders 27:30 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Raiders 27:30 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | LV +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Raiders 27:30 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | KC +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Raiders 27:30 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | KC +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI Eagles 20:24 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | Virginia Tech wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | VT -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | VT -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | F5 Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Cleveland Browns 21:18 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | SMU Mustangs 34:24 Missouri State Bears NCAAF | SMU +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | SMU Mustangs 34:24 Missouri State Bears NCAAF | Missouri St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Stanford Cardinal 34:27 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets NCAAF | GT -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | TEX -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Kansas City 1:9 Chicago WS MLB | Team Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 2:1 St. Louis MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4:2 Toronto MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | MISS +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Alabama Crimson Tide 50:36 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | ALA -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Clemson Tigers 28:20 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | UNC +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28:26 Houston NCAAF | TTU -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5:4 Minnesota MLB | Team Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | BUF +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Isaac TeSlaa: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Texas to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | OSU -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Kentucky Wildcats 17:45 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | ALA -14.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17:10 Oklahoma NCAAF | OKLA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Kansas Jayhawks 21:38 Missouri Tigers NCAAF | KU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | LAR +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Athletics 6:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Washington 24:10 Washington State Cougars NCAAF | WASH +13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | San Diego Padres 3:2 New York Yankees MLB | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Eastern Michigan Eagles 21:27 San Jose St. NCAAF | SJSU -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:8 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Angels 3:6 New York Yankees MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Colorado Rockies 6:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Colorado wins | Won |