Kalshi · Football
happy.alligator3784 is a Nations League pro on Kalshi: 85 picks, 70.2% win rate, $17K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 11 | 11 | 6 | 54.5% |
| Champions League | 9 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
| Liga MX | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| La Liga | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| MLS | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Premier League | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
happy.alligator3784 mainly predicts Nations League: 11 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.2% hit rate over 85 orders, P&L $17K, ROI 22.5%. In Nations League, 6 of 11 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-30 20:06 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Casa Pia A.C. (Casa Pia AC) 0:2 Sporting CP Liga Portugal | Sporting CP wins | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Al Nassr Club 5:3 Al-Kholood Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr wins | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Nashville SC 0:0 Philadelphia MLS | Nashville wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Austin FC 1:2 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) MLS | Salt Lake wins | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | America 1:2 CF Pachuca Liga MX | America wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Valencia 1:2 Villarreal CF La Liga | Villarreal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Bodoe/Glimt 0:1 Vålerenga Fotball (Valerenga) Eliteserien | Valerenga wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:2 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) Premier League | Chelsea wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Cruz Azul wins | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 2:2 Club Tijuana Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) 1:4 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Monterrey wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Bayern Munich wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Sporting CP 2:3 LASK Linz (LASK) Champions League | Sporting CP wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Getafe CF 1:1 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | Vallecano wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Cali 0:0 Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 2:1 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Monterrey wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 2:5 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Sociedad wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Real Betis wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | CSKA Sofia 1:2 AS Monaco FC Conference League | Monaco wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 0:0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Saint Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 3:1 Charlotte FC MLS | Charlotte wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Bodoe/Glimt 1:0 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Champions League | Bodoe/Glimt wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 3:2 FC Porto Champions League | Real Betis wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:4 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Champions League | PSG wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | R.C. Lens (Lens) 0:2 Sporting CP Champions League | Sporting CP wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 0:1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) Intl Friendlies | Egypt wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Real Sociedad B 2:3 Granada CF La Liga 2 | Real Sociedad B wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | West Ham W 0:3 Chelsea W English Women's Super League | Chelsea wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) Nations League | Switzerland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 2:0 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | Peru wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 0:7 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) 0:2 Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) CONCACAF Nations League | Jamaica wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Suriname 0:0 Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) CONCACAF Nations League | Guatemala wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | France wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2:4 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Ireland 2:2 Austria men's national football team (Austria) Nations League | Ireland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 1:2 Rwanda men's national basketball team (Rwanda) AFCON | Cape Verde wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | South-Sudan 0:5 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) AFCON | Egypt wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) 6:0 El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) CONCACAF Nations League | Guatemala wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Necaxa 2:4 America Liga MX | America wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 0:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) 1:2 Greece men's national football team (Greece) Nations League | Serbia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Netherlands 1:1 Germany Nations League | Netherlands wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) Nations League | Norway wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Levante UD 2:4 FC Barcelona La Liga | BAR -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Al-Khaleej 1:1 Al Nassr Club Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | RC Strasbourg Alsace 1:1 AS Monaco FC Ligue 1 | Monaco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Minnesota 1:2 FC Dallas MLS | MIN -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Atlanta 2:3 Orlando MLS | ATL -1.5 | Lost |