Polymarket · Football · Top pro · Active
Carefree-Significance is a Bundesliga pro on Polymarket: 311 picks, 63.5% win rate, $19K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 48 have settled: 25 won, 23 lost, 52.1% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 29 | 29 | 15 | 51.7% |
| Korea K League 1 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% |
| Serie B | 9 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| AFC Champions League | 8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| DFB Pokal | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Serie A | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
Carefree-Significance mainly predicts Bundesliga: 29 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.5% hit rate over 311 orders, P&L $19K, ROI 39.4%. In Bundesliga, 15 of 29 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-10-27 05:04 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | SV Elversberg (SV 07 Elversberg) SV Darmstadt 98 DFB Pokal | SV 07 Elversberg to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | Ratchaburi FC Kashiwa Reysol AFC Champions League | Kashiwa Reysol to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | Torino FC Como 1907 Serie A | Como 1907 to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | Kyoto Sanga FC Newcastle United Jets AFC Champions League | Kyoto Sanga FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | Beijing Guoan Jeonbuk FC AFC Champions League | Jeonbuk FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC UC Sampdoria Serie B | Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | Al-Shamal Al Hilal SFC AFC Champions League | Al Hilal SFC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | Abha Saudi Club Al Faisaly Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Al Faisaly Saudi Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | Ratchaburi FC Kashiwa Reysol AFC Champions League | Ratchaburi FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | Shanghai Port F.C. (Shanghai Port FC) Cong An Ha Noi FC AFC Champions League | Shanghai Port FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | Kyoto Sanga FC Newcastle United Jets AFC Champions League | Newcastle United Jets to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | Daejeon Citizen FC Vissel Kobe AFC Champions League | Vissel Kobe to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-25 | SC Freiburg 1:3 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | SC Freiburg 1:3 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | FC Bayern München -2.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga | Bayer 04 Leverkusen -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | SC Freiburg 1:3 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | Halftime · FC Bayern München leading | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Palermo F.C. (Palermo FC) 2:1 Carrarese Calcio Serie B | Palermo FC vs Carrarese Calcio O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | S.S. Arezzo (SS Arezzo) 0:3 Benevento Calcio Serie B | SS Arezzo vs Benevento Calcio O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | RB Leipzig 4:0 SV Elversberg (SV 07 Elversberg) Bundesliga | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | FC Augsburg 1:1 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga | draw | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 2:3 SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | RB Leipzig 4:0 SV Elversberg (SV 07 Elversberg) Bundesliga | SV 07 Elversberg to win | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | RB Leipzig 4:0 SV Elversberg (SV 07 Elversberg) Bundesliga | RB Leipzig vs SV 07 Elversberg O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | RB Leipzig 4:0 SV Elversberg (SV 07 Elversberg) Bundesliga | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | 1. FC Köln 0:0 Schalke 04 (FC Schalke 04) Bundesliga | 1. FC Köln to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 2:3 SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga | 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen O/U 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | RB Leipzig 4:0 SV Elversberg (SV 07 Elversberg) Bundesliga | draw at halftime | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | FC Augsburg 1:1 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga | FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Modena F.C. (Modena FC 2018) 3:0 Cesena FC Serie B | Modena FC 2018 vs Cesena FC O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Virtus Entella 0:1 Mantova 1911 Serie B | Virtus Entella vs Mantova 1911 O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | F.C. Südtirol (FC Südtirol) 1:1 UC Sampdoria Serie B | UC Sampdoria to win | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Virtus Entella 0:1 Mantova 1911 Serie B | Virtus Entella to win | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | U.S. Avellino 1912 (US Avellino 1912) 0:1 Calcio Padova Serie B | US Avellino 1912 to win | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | RB Leipzig 4:0 SV Elversberg (SV 07 Elversberg) Bundesliga | RB Leipzig vs SV 07 Elversberg O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | SC Paderborn 07 1:0 Hamburger SV Bundesliga | draw at halftime | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) 1:0 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) 1:0 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 2:3 SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga | 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) 1:0 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt O/U 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | RB Leipzig 4:0 SV Elversberg (SV 07 Elversberg) Bundesliga | RB Leipzig -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 2:3 SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | 1. FC Köln 0:0 Schalke 04 (FC Schalke 04) Bundesliga | 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | FC Augsburg 1:1 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga | FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 2:3 SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga | 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | 1. FC Köln 0:0 Schalke 04 (FC Schalke 04) Bundesliga | 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | S.S. Arezzo (SS Arezzo) 0:3 Benevento Calcio Serie B | Halftime · SS Arezzo leading | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 2:3 SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga | 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Incheon United FC 3:1 Jeju SK FC Korea K League 1 | Halftime · Jeju SK FC leading | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Ulsan HD FC 2:2 FC Pohang Steelers (Pohang Steelers FC) Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | FC Anyang 1:1 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC Korea K League 1 | FC Anyang to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | FC Seoul 1:1 Gangwon FC Korea K League 1 | Halftime · FC Seoul leading | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1:2 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC Korea K League 1 | Daejeon Hana Citizen FC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Bucheon FC 1995 0:3 Gwangju FC Korea K League 1 | Bucheon FC 1995 to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Incheon United FC 3:1 Jeju SK FC Korea K League 1 | Halftime · Incheon United FC leading | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1:2 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC Korea K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Bucheon FC 1995 0:3 Gwangju FC Korea K League 1 | Halftime · Gwangju FC leading | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | FC Anyang 1:1 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC Korea K League 1 | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Incheon United FC 3:1 Jeju SK FC Korea K League 1 | draw at halftime | Lost |