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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction – 10 Oct 2026, 12:00

LoL Worlds 2026 · MLB Postseason

La Liga ·

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC (La Liga): 159 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 46% backing Athletic Bilbao to win. Prediction-market win probability: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 28%, the draw 32%, Athletic Bilbao 40% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.

Latest Polymarket chances: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 28% · Draw 32% · Athletic Bilbao 40% (updated )

Quick answers

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao prediction: who will win?

Athletic Bilbao is the prediction-market favourite at 40% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-10 16:59 UTC+0). Of 41 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 19 (46%) back Athletic Bilbao to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1757 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.

What are the win chances for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao?

As of 2026-10-10 16:59 UTC+0, Polymarket shows: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 28% · Draw 32% · Athletic Bilbao 40%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.

Who are profitable pros picking in Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao?

159 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 18 (44%) · Draw 4 (10%) · Athletic Bilbao 19 (46%).

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao: recent form and head-to-head?

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, last 5: D W L W L. Athletic Bilbao, last 5: D D W W L. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins – draws – Athletic Bilbao wins): 0-1-1; latest 2026-02-28: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1:1 Athletic Bilbao.

Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-26 07:55 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology

What profitable pros picked

159 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win 18 (44%) · the draw 4 (10%) · Athletic Bilbao to win 19 (46%).

Recent form

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

2026-09-19vs CA Osasuna1:1D
2026-09-16vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2:1W
2026-09-13vs Real Madrid1:4L
2026-09-05vs Real Racing Club3:2W
2026-09-01vs FC Barcelona2:5L

Athletic Bilbao

2026-09-19vs Deportivo Alavés0:0D
2026-09-12vs Elche CF1:1D
2026-09-05vs Club Atlético de Madrid3:0W
2026-08-31vs RC Celta de Vigo2:0W
2026-08-28vs FC Barcelona0:2L

Head-to-head

2026-02-28Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1:1Athletic Bilbao
2025-08-26Athletic Bilbao1:0Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

236 pros predicted

DateMatchPickResult
2026-10-26LeLynxMalynx
Polymarket
exact score 2 - 1Pending
2026-10-26davbsm
Polymarket
both teams to scoreWon
2026-10-26davbsm
Polymarket
both teams to scorePending
2026-10-26piepi
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5Pending
2026-10-25piepi
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5Pending
2026-10-25piepi
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5Pending
2026-10-24piepi
Polymarket
both teams to scorePending
2026-10-23168888888168
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-23168888888168
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-23168888888168
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-23piepi
Polymarket
both teams to scorePending
2026-10-22piepi
Polymarket
both teams to scorePending
2026-10-22168888888168
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-21LeLynxMalynx
Polymarket
exact score 2 - 1Pending
2026-10-21JumaJumajej
Polymarket
drawWon
2026-10-21JumaJumajej
Polymarket
drawPending
2026-10-20foooool
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5Pending
2026-10-19foooool
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5Pending
2026-10-19foooool
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5Pending
2026-10-19168888888168
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-19zzqq35
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winLost
2026-10-19zzqq35
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-18foooool
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5Pending
2026-10-18zzqq35
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-18KsDf5dCs
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-18KsDf5dCs
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-18nigiri99
Polymarket
both teams to scorePending
2026-10-18Splendid-Complexity
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winLost
2026-10-18Splendid-Complexity
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5Lost
2026-10-18Splendid-Complexity
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-18Splendid-Complexity
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5Pending
2026-10-17piepi
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5Pending
2026-10-17piepi
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5Pending
2026-10-17piepi
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5Pending
2026-10-17168888888168
Polymarket
Halftime · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leadingPending
2026-10-17curie
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-17curie
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 1.5Pending
2026-10-17curie
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5Pending
2026-10-16piepi
Polymarket
both teams to scorePending
2026-10-16piepi
Polymarket
both teams to scorePending
2026-10-15norrisfan
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-15sbsigner
Polymarket
drawPending
2026-10-15sbsigner
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-15Cupseyy
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-15Cupseyy
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winWon
2026-10-14piepi
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5Pending
2026-10-13foooool
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 4.5Pending
2026-10-13nigiri99
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5Won
2026-10-13foooool
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5Pending
2026-10-13foooool
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 4.5Pending
2026-10-13nigiri99
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5Pending
2026-10-13sbsigner
Polymarket
drawPending
2026-10-13sbsigner
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-12norrisfan
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-12foooool
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5Pending
2026-10-12nigiri99
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winLost
2026-10-12nigiri99
Polymarket
Athletic Club to winPending
2026-10-12foooool
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5Pending
2026-10-12foooool
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5Pending
2026-10-12foooool
Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5Pending
See the full record on Tips
Data on this page comes from public trades and positions on prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi. This site only displays data and does not offer betting or trading of any kind.

Teams

Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club

League

La Liga

Most accurate pros

C63AMGpiepiamused267CannaeItchy-OrganisationGamblingAddict12345Splendid-Complexity168888888168zzqq35JumaJumajejk-maniacnorrisfan

See the full data on Tips