Kalshi · American football
top.playa is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 39 picks, 66.7% win rate, $818 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 27 | 27 | 17 | 63.0% |
| NCAAF | 16 | 16 | 11 | 68.8% |
| MLB | 9 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| NBA | 7 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
top.playa mainly predicts NFL: 27 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 39 orders, P&L $818, ROI 21.7%. In NFL, 17 of 27 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-11-01 04:14 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | UNLV Rebels 31:24 Northern Illinois Huskies NCAAF | UNLV -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | UNLV Rebels 31:24 Northern Illinois Huskies NCAAF | 1H Over 34.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:4 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:4 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | MIL -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Minnesota Timberwolves 114:119 Golden State Warriors NBA | Minnesota wins the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Detroit Pistons 97:89 Charlotte Hornets NBA | CHA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Indiana Pacers 109:114 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | Philadelphia wins the 1st quarter | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Detroit Pistons 97:89 Charlotte Hornets NBA | Detroit wins the 1st quarter | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Boston Celtics 125:124 Brooklyn Nets NBA | Boston wins the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Las Vegas Raiders 21:35 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Minnesota Vikings 16:10 Indianapolis Colts NFL | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Atlanta Falcons 29:20 San Francisco 49ers NFL | 1H Over 20.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | New Orleans Saints 10:16 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | PIT -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Boston Celtics 107:103 New York Knicks NBA | BOS -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets NBA | Oklahoma City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Over 66.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Jacksonville wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | HOU +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | Oregon wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Golden State Valkyries 68:64 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Tennessee 26:10 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | TENN +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:23 Denver Broncos NFL | Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | 1H Over 28.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | SEA +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | neither team win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | 1H Over 20.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Green Bay Packers 31:7 Chicago Bears NFL | Under 39.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers 34:22 Indianapolis Colts NFL | Over 52.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers 34:22 Indianapolis Colts NFL | PIT +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Over 53.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Green Bay Packers 31:7 Chicago Bears NFL | GB +14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | 1H Under 35.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | NE -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Green Bay Packers 31:7 Chicago Bears NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Over 41.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Atlanta Braves 1:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Atlanta Braves 1:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Raiders 27:30 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Over 45.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | HOU Texans 30:34 DAL Cowboys NFL | Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | F5 Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | Milwaukee first 5 innings winner | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 New York Yankees MLB | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 New York Yankees MLB | TB +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24:16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | BUF -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24:16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | LAC +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Michigan Wolverines 19:20 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | 1H Over 19.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Michigan Wolverines 19:20 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | 1H Over 20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Michigan Wolverines 19:20 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | 1H Over 13.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Michigan Wolverines 19:20 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | MICH -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Team Under 20.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | 3Q Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | 1H Over 19.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | TEX -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | Under 34.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | CLEM -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Seattle 5:7 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | Clemson wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | Clemson wins the 1st half | Won |