Kalshi · Baseball · American football · Top pro
livedonasandbar is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 58 picks, 70.7% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 22 | 22 | 16 | 72.7% |
| NFL | 21 | 21 | 15 | 71.4% |
| NCAAF | 13 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| La Liga | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Eliteserien | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
livedonasandbar mainly predicts MLB: 22 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.7% hit rate over 58 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 31.1%. In MLB, 16 of 22 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-12 01:16 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Drake London: 5+ receptions | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | George Kittle: 25+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers 34:22 Indianapolis Colts NFL | Jaylen Warren: 15+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Penn St. 23:31 USC Trojans NCAAF | USC +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | West Virginia Mountaineers 31:52 Arizona NCAAF | ARIZ +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | New York Liberty 83:85 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Over 170.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | San Jose St. 13:16 Wyoming Cowboys NCAAF | SJSU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | SK Brann 0:2 Viking FK Eliteserien | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Atlético Nacional (Atletico Nacional) 0:0 Tolima Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Atletico Nacional wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Javonte Williams: 18+ rushing attempts | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | George Pickens: 60+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | San Diego Padres 1:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Atlanta Braves 1:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | New York Yankees 3:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Troy 55:34 Southern Miss Golden Eagles NCAAF | TROY +13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | San Diego Padres 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Emeka Egbuka: 3+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | NYY +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Raiders 27:30 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Mike Washington Jr.: 15+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | San Francisco 49ers 24:14 DEN Broncos NFL | SF +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN Vikings 15:10 MIA Dolphins NFL | Tai Felton: 40+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | HOU Texans 30:34 DAL Cowboys NFL | Over 47.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | HOU Texans 30:34 DAL Cowboys NFL | C.J. Stroud: 10+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Cleveland Guardians 0:3 Chicago White Sox MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | VT +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Deshaun Watson: 25+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Houston Astros 3:7 Chicago White Sox MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | New York Yankees 9:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Pittsburgh Steelers 30:27 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | CIN -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24:16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | BUF +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | SEA +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions 31:24 New York Jets NFL | DET -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Delaware State Hornets 33:28 Towson Tigers NCAAF | DSU +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Michigan Wolverines 19:20 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | MICH +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Alabama Crimson Tide 49:18 South Carolina Gamecocks NCAAF | ALA +13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Under 55.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Western Michigan Broncos 7:32 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | BSU -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | TEX -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | IND +21.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Athletics 6:5 Houston MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | UAB Blazers 24:20 Navy Midshipmen NCAAF | NAVY -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Toronto 6:5 Cincinnati MLB | Toronto wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Detroit Lions 31:24 New York Jets NFL | Breece Hall: 3+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Athletics 5:7 Houston MLB | Team Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Boston 0:1 Cleveland MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Philadelphia 1:5 Milwaukee MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | New York Yankees 6:4 Tampa Bay MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | GB +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4:2 Toronto MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2:4 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | San Francisco 2:3 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Chicago Cubs 2:8 Miami MLB | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Kansas City 11:14 Chicago WS MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Athletics 9:7 Los Angeles Angels MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Baltimore 4:3 Toronto MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Darnell Mooney: 15+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | San Francisco 49ers 35:13 MIA Dolphins NFL | SF -12.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | DAL Cowboys 37:20 WAS Commanders NFL | DAL -3.5 | Won |