Kalshi · Baseball
causal.donkey3608 is a Liga MX pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 69.6% win rate, $338 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 12 won, 48 lost, 20.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 18 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% |
| La Liga | 10 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% |
| Premier League | 8 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| MLS | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Champions League | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| EFL Cup | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
causal.donkey3608 mainly predicts Liga MX: 18 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.6% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $338, ROI 35.2%. In Liga MX, 2 of 18 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-11-01 05:12 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | America 2:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | America 2:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | America wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | America 2:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Toluca wins 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 3:3 Club Tijuana Liga MX | Final score CF Monterrey wins 4-3 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 3:3 Club Tijuana Liga MX | TIJ -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Colorado 2:4 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Chicago Fire wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 3:3 Club Tijuana Liga MX | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Bundesliga | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 2:0 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Bundesliga | Final score Bayern Munich wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Bundesliga | Dortmund wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | AFC Bournemouth 2:0 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Bournemouth wins | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 0:1 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | Brighton wins | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Chelsea wins | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 FC Cincinnati MLS | Miami wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:2 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) EFL Cup | Manchester City wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:2 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) EFL Cup | Brighton wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 1:1 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) EFL Cup | Liverpool wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 1:1 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) EFL Cup | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | BAR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Barcelona wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Real Sociedad 2:1 Levante UD La Liga | RSO -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:0 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | Final score Liverpool FC wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 0:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Crystal Palace wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:0 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | LFC -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:0 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston 0:0 Minnesota MLS | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 0:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Monterrey wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Leon 1:1 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Final score Club Leon wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Palmeiras 2:0 Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) Brasileiro Serie A | Final score SE Palmeiras SP wins 2-0 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Red Bull New York (New York RB) 2:0 Inter Miami CF MLS | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Palmeiras 2:0 Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) Brasileiro Serie A | Palmeiras wins 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Red Bull New York (New York RB) 2:0 Inter Miami CF MLS | Final score Inter Miami CF wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Red Bull New York (New York RB) 2:0 Inter Miami CF MLS | Miami wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Atletico 1:0 Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) La Liga | ATM -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Atletico 1:0 Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) La Liga | Final score Atletico Madrid wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Valencia 1:2 Villarreal CF La Liga | Final score Villarreal CF wins 2-1 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Valencia 1:2 Villarreal CF La Liga | Final score Villarreal CF wins 4-1 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Real Madrid 4:1 Leipzig Champions League | Leipzig wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 0:2 Leon Liga MX | Tigres wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 1:0 Club Necaxa Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | San Luis 2:1 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Queretaro wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Juarez 0:1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Juarez wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Londrina E.C. (Londrina) 1:0 Cuiabá Esporte Clube (Cuiaba) Brasileiro Serie B | Cuiaba wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 1:0 Club Necaxa Liga MX | Guadalajara wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 4:3 Villarreal CF Champions League | Liverpool wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 4:3 Villarreal CF Champions League | Final score Liverpool FC wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Sabah Masazir 1:2 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Champions League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | VfB Stuttgart 1:1 Atletico Champions League | Atletico wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Cali 0:0 Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Cali wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 2:1 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Final score CF Monterrey wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 2:1 CF Pachuca Liga MX | CF Monterrey wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Houston 2:2 FC Dallas MLS | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Final score FC Barcelona wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Final score FC Barcelona wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Club Tijuana 1:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Final score Club Tijuana de Caliente wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 1:2 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Pumas UNAM wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Club Necaxa 0:2 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | Final score Draw 1-1 | Lost |