Kalshi · Baseball
confident.tapir3790 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 76 picks, 67.1% win rate, $331 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 36 won, 23 lost, 61.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 44 | 44 | 26 | 59.1% |
| WNBA | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| NFL | 5 | 4 | 3 | — |
| NCAAF | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Premier League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| La Liga | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
confident.tapir3790 mainly predicts MLB: 44 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 67.1% hit rate over 76 orders, P&L $331, ROI 10.2%. In MLB, 26 of 44 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-18 16:54 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3:0 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Bowling Green Falcons 13:20 Tarleton State Texans NCAAF | Bowling Green wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Cincinnati Reds 7:10 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | USC Trojans 39:0 Fresno State Bulldogs NCAAF | USC -21.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | New York Mets 10:6 San Francisco MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Philadelphia Phillies 2:5 Atlanta Braves MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Cleveland Guardians 7:6 Detroit Tigers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Chicago WS 4:1 Minnesota Twins MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Houston Astros 3:1 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Texas 6:0 Tampa Bay MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Chicago Cubs 2:1 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Chicago C wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Seattle Mariners 4:7 Athletics MLB | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Houston Astros 6:2 Chicago WS MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Angels 3:6 New York Yankees MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Kansas City Royals 6:9 Miami Marlins MLB | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Cincinnati Reds 7:3 San Diego Padres MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Cleveland Guardians 0:11 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto first 5 innings winner | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Tampa Bay 4:10 New York Mets MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Washington Nationals 9:5 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Boston Red Sox 6:9 Seattle Mariners MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Pittsburgh Pirates 13:12 San Francisco Giants MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Boston Red Sox 6:9 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Los Angeles Angels 10:1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Chicago Cubs 17:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Boston Red Sox 9:8 Seattle Mariners MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Atlanta Dream 83:101 Portland Fire WNBA | ATL -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | St. Louis Cardinals 4:1 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | St. Louis Cardinals 4:1 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Phoenix Mercury 73:80 Washington Mystics WNBA | WSH -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Atlanta Braves 1:0 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | New York Mets 3:2 Milwaukee MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | New York Mets 3:2 Milwaukee MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | New York Yankees 3:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs New York Y First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles R 34:0 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NFL | New Orleans vs Los Angeles Pro Football game: NO Saints wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Tampa Bay 16:15 Kansas City NFL | Kansas City vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game: TB Buccaneers wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Cleveland Browns 7:31 Buffalo Bills NFL | Over 37.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Miami Marlins 4:2 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | New York Yankees 3:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Espanyol vs Real Madrid Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Boston Red Sox 3:2 San Francisco Giants MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Chicago Sky 73:70 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | GS +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Houston Astros 4:0 Athletics MLB | A's vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Milwaukee First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Boston Red Sox 6:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Dallas Wings 91:85 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Washington Mystics 93:82 Toronto Tempo WNBA | WSH +15.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Toronto Tempo 95:101 Indiana Fever WNBA | IND -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Golden State Valkyries 78:70 Dallas Wings WNBA | GS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Colorado Rockies 5:11 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | New York Mets 2:1 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:1 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Houston Texans 7:27 Los Angeles C NFL | Los Angeles C to win | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Minnesota Twins 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | MIN -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Minnesota Twins 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | PHI -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) 14:27 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Carson Beck: 1+ passing touchdowns | Pending |
| 2026-08-12 | New York Yankees 10:5 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | San Diego Padres 11:2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Miami Marlins 8:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Miami Marlins 2:0 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |