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Celta Vigo vs Union Gilloise prediction for 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC (Europa League). Prediction-market win probability: Celta Vigo 48%, the draw 24%, Union Gilloise 27% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Celta Vigo 48% · Draw 24% · Union Gilloise 27% (updated )
Celta Vigo is the prediction-market favourite at 48% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-01 11:16 UTC+0). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 2024 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-01 11:16 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: Celta Vigo 48% · Draw 24% · Union Gilloise 27%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Celta Vigo, last 5: L D W W L. Union Gilloise, last 5: W W W D D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-01 11:16 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-31 | vs Vallecano | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Real Betis | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-23 | vs Celtic FC | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Alaves | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-16 | vs Juventus FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-11-01 | vs SK Beveren | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-26 | vs Cercle Brugge | 5:2 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Be`er Sheva | 4:0 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Real Sociedad | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Leuven | 1:1 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | brainprediction Polymarket | RC Celta de Vigo to win | Pending |