Kalshi · Baseball
thunderspur is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 67 picks, 65.2% win rate, $750 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 37 | 37 | 23 | 62.2% |
| NFL | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
| NBA | 8 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| NCAAF | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Liga MX | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
thunderspur mainly predicts MLB: 37 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.2% hit rate over 67 orders, P&L $750, ROI 12.4%. In MLB, 23 of 37 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-29 01:01 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WWLLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:4 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 28:44 Kennesaw State Owls NCAAF | Kennesaw St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Philadelphia Eagles 21:38 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Cleveland Cavaliers 127:125 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Philadelphia 76ers 93:106 Detroit Pistons NBA | Over 201.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Minnesota Timberwolves 117:94 Toronto Raptors NBA | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Minnesota Vikings 16:10 Indianapolis Colts NFL | Indianapolis wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | San Antonio Spurs 110:114 Houston Rockets NBA | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Golden State Warriors 108:111 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Memphis wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Virginia Cavaliers 16:19 Duke Blue Devils NCAAF | Duke wins | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Boston Celtics 107:103 New York Knicks NBA | New York wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Orlando Magic 93:115 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Delaware State Hornets 12:31 North Carolina Central Eagles NCAAF | Delaware St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls NBA | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | San Francisco 49ers 24:14 DEN Broncos NFL | Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Raiders 27:30 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | SEA Seahawks 30:23 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Over 42.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 San Diego Padres MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4:2 Toronto MLB | Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Washington Nationals 6:3 Miami Marlins MLB | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Atlanta Braves 4:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Miami Marlins 3:7 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Atlanta Braves 4:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Detroit Tigers 4:1 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Arizona Diamondbacks 0:7 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Seattle Mariners 9:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Detroit Tigers 1:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle vs Tennessee Pro Football game: SEA Seahawks wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Seattle Mariners 2:19 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Baltimore Orioles 1:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Arizona Cardinals 13:34 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs Arizona Pro Football game: DAL Cowboys wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Cincinnati Bengals 27:9 Chicago Bears NFL | Chicago vs Cincinnati Pro Football game: CIN Bengals wins | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Houston Texans 20:22 Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) NFL | Las Vegas vs Houston Pro Football game: LV Raiders wins | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Minnesota Twins 7:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | New York Yankees 4:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:5 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | New York Yankees 1:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Miami Marlins 3:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Arizona Cardinals 30:33 Carolina Panthers NFL | Arizona to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Atlanta Braves 11:3 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3:2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Diamondbacks 10:4 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 7:9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Houston Astros 1:3 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Chicago Cubs 10:5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:3 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Pittsburgh Pirates 3:2 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Philadelphia Phillies 11:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 0:1 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | Santos Laguna vs Atlas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Baltimore Orioles 3:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | BAL +1.5 | Won |