Kalshi · Football
norisknostory is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 29 picks, 65.5% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 28 won, 32 lost, 46.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 20 | 20 | 12 | 60.0% |
| MLB | 18 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% |
| NFL | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| MLS | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Nations League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
norisknostory mainly predicts NCAAF: 20 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.5% hit rate over 29 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 52.6%. In NCAAF, 12 of 20 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-12 01:56 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Tennessee Titans 3:26 Houston Texans NFL | Tennessee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Missouri Tigers 27:6 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | MIZZ -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 17:21 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | PITT +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Washington 24:41 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | WASH -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | BYU Cougars 24:10 Iowa St. NCAAF | BYU +11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Alabama State Hornets 27:28 Florida A&M Rattlers NCAAF | Under 49.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Chicago White Sox 5:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Over 48.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Kennesaw State Owls 26:27 Jacksonville State Gamecocks NCAAF | JVST -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago White Sox 3:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago White Sox 3:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Kennesaw State Owls 26:27 Jacksonville State Gamecocks NCAAF | Jacksonville St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | CIN Bengals 17:22 JAC Jaguars NFL | Jacksonville wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | San Francisco 49ers 24:14 DEN Broncos NFL | SF -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Raiders 27:30 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | KC -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:17 BYU Cougars NCAAF | BYU -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Missouri Tigers 45:17 Florida Gators NCAAF | Over 57.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Clemson Tigers 13:41 Miami (FL) NCAAF | MIA -14.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | UConn Huskies 41:42 Syracuse Orange NCAAF | SYR +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Kent State Golden Flashes 10:13 Ohio Bobcats NCAAF | Ohio wins the 1st half | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Dallas Wings 108:100 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Dallas Wings 108:100 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Over 156.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Roma Women 0:6 FC Barcelona W Women's Champions League | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Indiana Fever 99:89 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | PHI -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Over 41.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 2:1 Inter Miami CF MLS | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Kansas City 5:4 Chicago WS MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | LAR -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28:26 Houston NCAAF | Over 52.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | 1H Under 23.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Texas 7:3 Boston MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Kenneth Walker III: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Torino FC 0:2 AS Roma Serie A | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Houston 2:1 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) MLS | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Toronto FC 2:1 Nashville SC MLS | Nashville wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | San Francisco Giants 7:6 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Detroit Tigers 7:2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | San Francisco Giants 5:4 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Bowling Green Falcons 13:20 Tarleton State Texans NCAAF | Bowling Green wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | UConn Huskies 56:7 Lafayette Leopards NCAAF | Over 50.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | San Diego Padres 1:5 New York Yankees MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Kansas City Royals 3:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Miami Marlins 5:6 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | California Golden Bears 24:45 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | UCLA +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | LSU Tigers 51:10 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | LSU -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Auburn Tigers 17:16 Baylor Bears NCAAF | Under 59.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Bowling Green Falcons 13:20 Tarleton State Texans NCAAF | Over 47.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 49:21 Ohio Bobcats NCAAF | NEB +23.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Lincoln 1:1 Southampton F.C. (Southampton FC) EFL Championship | Southampton wins | Lost |