Polymarket · Football · Top pro
Somber-Commercial is a Europa League pro on Polymarket: 355 picks, 68.5% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 38 won, 22 lost, 63.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europa League | 20 | 20 | 18 | 90.0% |
| La Liga | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
| Bundesliga | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| Champions League | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| CONMEBOL Libertadores | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Brasileiro Serie A | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
Somber-Commercial mainly predicts Europa League: 20 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.5% hit rate over 355 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 14.8%. In Europa League, 18 of 20 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-10-26 13:20 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WWLLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (CR Flamengo) 3:2 Clube Atlético Mineiro (CA Mineiro) Brasileiro Serie A | CR Flamengo -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (CR Flamengo) 3:2 Clube Atlético Mineiro (CA Mineiro) Brasileiro Serie A | CR Flamengo -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Sevilla 2:0 Club Atlético Osasuna (CA Osasuna) La Liga | Sevilla FC -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) 2:1 Levante UD La Liga | Real Sociedad de Fútbol -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) 2:1 Levante UD La Liga | Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | VfB Stuttgart 2:3 Borussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga | corners 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (CR Flamengo) 0:0 Estudiantes de La Plata CONMEBOL Libertadores | CR Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (CR Flamengo) 0:0 Estudiantes de La Plata CONMEBOL Libertadores | CR Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge KV) 3:0 R.C. Lens (Racing Club de Lens) Champions League | Club Brugge KV to win | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 2:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 2:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | FC Bayern München to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | FC Porto 0:1 PSV Eindhoven (PSV) Champions League | FC Porto -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | FC Porto 0:1 PSV Eindhoven (PSV) Champions League | FC Porto to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Fenerbahçe SK 2:2 SK Slavia Prague (SK Slavia Praha) Champions League | Fenerbahçe SK -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Fenerbahçe SK 2:2 SK Slavia Prague (SK Slavia Praha) Champions League | Fenerbahçe SK to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (SC Corinthians Paulista) 1:1 E.C. Vitória (EC Vitória) Brasileiro Serie A | SC Corinthians Paulista -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Getafe 1:1 Rayo Vallecano (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) La Liga | Getafe CF to win | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Al Hilal SFC (Al Hilal Saudi Club) 1:0 Al Hazem SC Saudi Pro League | Al Hilal Saudi Club vs Al Hazem SC O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Real Madrid 4:1 Sevilla La Liga | Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Málaga CF 2:5 Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) La Liga | corners 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga | Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim O/U 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga | Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Málaga CF 2:5 Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) La Liga | Málaga CF vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Málaga CF 2:5 Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) La Liga | Málaga CF vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2:1 SC Freiburg Bundesliga | Bayer 04 Leverkusen -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2:1 SC Freiburg Bundesliga | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | 1. FC Union Berlin 0:0 Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) Bundesliga | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | 1. FC Union Berlin 0:0 Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) Bundesliga | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | RC Deportivo A Coruña 1:1 Levante UD La Liga | RC Deportivo A Coruña vs Levante UD O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | RC Deportivo A Coruña 1:1 Levante UD La Liga | RC Deportivo A Coruña vs Levante UD O/U 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Burnley F.C. (Burnley) 1:2 Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton Wanderers FC) EFL Championship | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) 2:0 S.C. Internacional (SC Internacional) Brasileiro Serie A | Mirassol FC -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | RC Deportivo A Coruña 1:1 Levante UD La Liga | RC Deportivo A Coruña -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1:0 1. FC Köln Bundesliga | Eintracht Frankfurt -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Olympique Lyonnais 3:2 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Europa League | Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Olympique Lyonnais 3:2 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Europa League | Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | SC União Torreense 1:2 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Europa League | SC União Torreense vs Sunderland AFC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | S.L. Benfica (Sport Lisboa e Benfica) 4:1 Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) Europa League | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Celtic FC O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | S.L. Benfica (Sport Lisboa e Benfica) 4:1 Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) Europa League | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Celtic FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Lech Poznań (KKS Lech Poznań) 0:4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Olympique Lyonnais 3:2 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Europa League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | FC Red Bull Salzburg 0:4 AC Milan Europa League | FC Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | FC Red Bull Salzburg 0:4 AC Milan Europa League | FC Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Estudiantes de La Plata 0:0 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (CR Flamengo) CONMEBOL Libertadores | Estudiantes de La Plata to win | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | S.L. Benfica (Sport Lisboa e Benfica) 4:1 Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) Europa League | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | AFC Bournemouth 3:0 SK Sturm Graz (SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz) Europa League | AFC Bournemouth to win | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Olympique de Marseille 0:1 Olympiacos F.C. (Olympiakós SFP) Europa League | Olympique de Marseille -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2:3 Beşiktaş J.K. (Beşiktaş JK) Europa League | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | RC Celta de Vigo 1:2 Juventus FC Europa League | Juventus FC -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | FC Red Bull Salzburg 0:4 AC Milan Europa League | AC Milan -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise (RU Saint-Gilloise) 1:1 Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) Europa League | RU Saint-Gilloise -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | SC União Torreense 1:2 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Europa League | Sunderland AFC -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Olympique Lyonnais 3:2 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Europa League | Olympique Lyonnais -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | S.L. Benfica (Sport Lisboa e Benfica) 4:1 Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) Europa League | Sport Lisboa e Benfica -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | S.L. Benfica (Sport Lisboa e Benfica) 4:1 Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) Europa League | Sport Lisboa e Benfica -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) 1:2 Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras (SE Palmeiras) CONMEBOL Libertadores | Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) 1:2 Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras (SE Palmeiras) CONMEBOL Libertadores | Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Feyenoord Rotterdam 3:2 Como 1907 Champions League | Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Como 1907 O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Lincoln City F.C. (Lincoln City FC) 0:6 West Ham United F.C. (West Ham United FC) EFL Championship | West Ham United FC -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Lincoln City F.C. (Lincoln City FC) 0:6 West Ham United F.C. (West Ham United FC) EFL Championship | West Ham United FC to win | Won |