Kalshi · Football
tdensmore is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 41 picks, 75.6% win rate, $772 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 49 won, 11 lost, 81.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 49 | 49 | 42 | 85.7% |
| MLS | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Premier League | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie A | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
tdensmore mainly predicts MLB: 49 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.6% hit rate over 41 orders, P&L $772, ROI 17.0%. In MLB, 42 of 49 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-27 01:18 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:10 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Charlotte Hornets 115:110 Miami Heat NBA | Charlotte wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Cleveland Guardians Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | San Diego FC 3:3 Houston MLS | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:1 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:7 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Golden State Warriors 111:106 Sacramento Kings NBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Cleveland Guardians 2:0 Chicago White Sox MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Minnesota 2:6 Texas MLB | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | San Francisco 5:2 Minnesota MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Baltimore 4:3 Toronto MLB | Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Baltimore 0:3 Milwaukee MLB | Baltimore wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | San Diego 7:3 Miami MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 8:5 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | St. Louis Cardinals 5:6 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Los Angeles Angels 2:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Texas 4:2 Boston MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Chicago Cubs 3:6 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Colorado Rockies 7:8 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | San Francisco Giants 4:6 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | San Diego FC 0:5 Philadelphia MLS | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) 2:2 Vitoria Brasileiro Serie A | Vitoria wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Chicago Cubs 3:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:4 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Toronto Blue Jays 8:1 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Toronto wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | US Lecce 3:2 AC Monza Serie A | Lecce wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) 1:0 Houston MLS | San Jose wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:9 Texas MLB | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | St. Louis Cardinals 3:7 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Miami Marlins 4:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Chicago Cubs 4:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | New York Yankees 2:12 New York Mets MLB | New York M wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | New York Yankees 6:4 New York Mets MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:2 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:1 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:3 Washington Nationals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Seattle Mariners 4:7 Athletics MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:8 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Colorado Rockies 4:2 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Colorado wins | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Rivadavia 3:1 Racing Club (Racing Avellaneda) Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:6 San Diego Padres MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Athletics 3:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Los Angeles Angels 3:5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Minnesota Twins 4:7 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Washington Nationals 9:2 Miami Marlins MLB | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | San Francisco Giants 3:1 Cincinnati Reds MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | San Diego Padres 0:1 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Athletics 4:2 Minnesota Twins MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | San Diego Padres 2:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | San Francisco Giants 5:0 Cincinnati Reds MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Detroit Tigers 1:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |