Liga Portugal 2 ·
FC Penafiel vs Lourosa prediction for 15 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC (Liga Portugal 2). Prediction-market win probability: FC Penafiel 40%, the draw 32%, Lourosa 27% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: FC Penafiel 40% · Draw 32% · Lourosa 27% (updated )
FC Penafiel is the prediction-market favourite at 40% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-11 17:14 UTC+0). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 1999 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-11 17:14 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: FC Penafiel 40% · Draw 32% · Lourosa 27%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
FC Penafiel, last 4: W W W L. Lourosa, last 3: L W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-11 17:14 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-11-07 | vs GD Chaves | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-11-03 | vs CD Feirense | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs SC Farense | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs AVS Futebol SAD | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-11-08 | vs CD Feirense | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs AD Limianos | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs FC Madalena | 3:1 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | toryxbt Polymarket | draw | Pending |