Intl Friendlies ·
Argentina vs Costa Rica prediction for 17 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC (Intl Friendlies). Prediction-market win probability: Argentina 86%, the draw 10%, Costa Rica 3% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Argentina 86% · Draw 10% · Costa Rica 3% (updated )
Argentina is the prediction-market favourite at 86% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-15 19:31 UTC+0). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 87% of 2563 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-15 19:31 UTC+0, Polymarket shows: Argentina 86% · Draw 10% · Costa Rica 3%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Argentina, last 5: L W W W D. Costa Rica, last 5: L L L D L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-15 19:31 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-11-14 | vs Uruguay | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-07 | vs Benin | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | vs Burkina Faso | 7:0 | W |
| 2026-10-01 | vs Bolivia | 4:0 | W |
| 2026-07-20 | vs Spain | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-11-14 | vs Ecuador | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-06-11 | vs England | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-06-02 | vs Colombia | 1:3 | L |
| 2025-11-19 | vs Honduras | 0:0 | D |
| 2025-11-14 | vs Haiti | 0:1 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-15 | AvocadosFromMexico Polymarket | Costa Rica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH Polymarket | Argentina to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Blaring-Formicarium Polymarket | Argentina to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | BoxesOfBallz Polymarket | Costa Rica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Amused-Thought Polymarket | Argentina to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH Polymarket | Costa Rica to win | Pending |