Men's College Basketball ·
SMU Mustangs vs Ball St. prediction for 14 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC (Men's College Basketball): 3 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: SMU Mustangs 99%, Ball St. 1% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: SMU Mustangs 99% · Ball St. 1% (updated )
SMU Mustangs is the prediction-market favourite at 99% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-14 03:58 UTC+0). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 87% of 2448 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-14 03:58 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: SMU Mustangs 99% · Ball St. 1%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
SMU Mustangs, last 5: W W W L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-14 03:58 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
3 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-11-11 | vs Prairie View A&M | 98:63 | W |
| 2026-11-06 | vs VMI | 95:70 | W |
| 2026-11-03 | vs Southern University | 85:72 | W |
| 2026-03-19 | vs Miami Ohio RedHawks | 79:89 | L |
| 2026-03-12 | vs Louisville | 58:62 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | cpro777 Kalshi | SMU +39.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | bernardHFT Kalshi | SMU +39.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | bernardHFT Kalshi | SMU +34.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | bernardHFT Kalshi | SMU +29.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | jetgrinder6000 Kalshi | SMU wins | Pending |