NBA ·
Kings vs Thunder prediction for 16 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC (NBA): 9 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 100% backing Thunder to win. Prediction-market win probability: Kings 19%, Thunder 80% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Kings 19% · Thunder 80% (updated )
Thunder is the prediction-market favourite at 80% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-15 19:40 UTC+0). Of 5 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 5 (100%) back Thunder to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 87% of 2579 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-15 19:40 UTC+0, Polymarket shows: Kings 19% · Thunder 80%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
9 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Kings 0 (0%) · Thunder 5 (100%).
Kings, last 5: L L L L L. Thunder, last 5: L L L W W. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (Kings wins – draws – Thunder wins): 0-0-5; latest 2025-11-20: Thunder 113:99 Kings.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-15 19:40 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
9 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Kings to win 0 (0%) · Thunder to win 5 (100%).
| 2026-11-14 | vs Trail Blazers | 107:120 | L |
| 2026-11-11 | vs Magic | 100:107 | L |
| 2026-11-09 | vs Heat | 108:114 | L |
| 2026-11-07 | vs Spurs | 109:124 | L |
| 2026-11-05 | vs Lakers | 103:116 | L |
| 2026-11-14 | vs Clippers | 112:113 | L |
| 2026-11-12 | vs Trail Blazers | 108:118 | L |
| 2026-11-11 | vs Trail Blazers | 103:123 | L |
| 2026-11-08 | vs Wizards | 114:75 | W |
| 2026-11-07 | vs Grizzlies | 128:97 | W |
| 2025-11-20 | Thunder | 113:99 | Kings |
| 2025-11-08 | Kings | 101:132 | Thunder |
| 2025-10-29 | Thunder | 107:101 | Kings |
| 2025-03-26 | Kings | 105:121 | Thunder |
| 2025-02-02 | Thunder | 144:110 | Kings |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-16 | fedka Polymarket | Thunder vs. Kings | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | NM-P Polymarket | Thunder vs. Kings | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | MaoZeDonK Polymarket | Thunder -10.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Bruised-Compromise Polymarket | Thunder vs. Kings | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | NM-P Polymarket | Thunder -10.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Omaplata852 Polymarket | Thunder vs. Kings | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | rayguns Kalshi | Keegan Murray: 4+ threes | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | rayguns Kalshi | Keegan Murray: 3+ threes | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | chadwick1 Kalshi | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3+ threes | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | chadwick1 Kalshi | Ajay Mitchell: 4+ assists | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | datshew Kalshi | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 25+ points | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Elia12 Polymarket | Thunder vs. Kings | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | grooy Kalshi | Oklahoma City wins | Pending |