Premier League ·
Newcastle United FC vs Arsenal FC prediction for 21 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC (Premier League): 6 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 100% backing Arsenal FC to win. Prediction-market win probability: Newcastle United FC 16%, the draw 21%, Arsenal FC 61% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Newcastle United FC 16% · Draw 21% · Arsenal FC 61% (updated )
Arsenal FC is the prediction-market favourite at 61% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-14 07:03 UTC+0). Of 5 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 5 (100%) back Arsenal FC to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 66% of 2610 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-14 07:03 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: Newcastle United FC 16% · Draw 21% · Arsenal FC 61%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
6 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Newcastle United FC 0 (0%) · Draw 0 (0%) · Arsenal FC 5 (100%).
Newcastle United FC, last 5: D L L W L. Arsenal FC, last 5: W W W D W. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Newcastle United FC wins – draws – Arsenal FC wins): 0-0-2; latest 2026-04-25: Arsenal FC 1:0 Newcastle United FC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-14 07:03 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
6 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Newcastle United FC to win 0 (0%) · the draw 0 (0%) · Arsenal FC to win 5 (100%).
| 2026-11-07 | vs Fulham FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-11-03 | vs Everton FC | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-30 | vs Everton FC | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Crystal Palace FC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Aston Villa FC | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-11-07 | vs Hull City AFC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-11-05 | vs Slavia Prague | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Liverpool FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-28 | vs Fleetwood Town FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Everton FC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-04-25 | Arsenal FC | 1:0 | Newcastle United FC |
| 2025-09-28 | Newcastle United FC | 1:2 | Arsenal FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | machine-hazard Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-12 | 0x7c25…e741 Polymarket | Newcastle United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-12 | repophoto Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-11 | thatsabing0 Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | dumber Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Threekidsdre Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Newcastle United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | unfair.mackerel0621 Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | defensive.puppy8786 Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Pending |