Liga Portugal ·
FC Arouca vs CD Nacional prediction for 1 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC (Liga Portugal): 10 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 100% backing FC Arouca to win. Prediction-market win probability: FC Arouca 61%, the draw 23%, CD Nacional 14% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: FC Arouca 61% · Draw 23% · CD Nacional 14% (updated )
FC Arouca is the prediction-market favourite at 61% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-01 14:45 UTC+0). Of 3 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 3 (100%) back FC Arouca to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 65% of 2491 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-01 14:45 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: FC Arouca 61% · Draw 23% · CD Nacional 14%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
10 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: FC Arouca 3 (100%) · Draw 0 (0%) · CD Nacional 0 (0%).
FC Arouca, last 5: W W W D L. CD Nacional, last 5: W L L L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-01 14:54 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
10 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: FC Arouca to win 3 (100%) · the draw 0 (0%) · CD Nacional to win 0 (0%).
| 2026-10-25 | vs FC Alverca | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-19 | vs CF Os Belenenses | 4:3 | W |
| 2026-10-12 | vs CF Estrela da Amadora | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Sporting CP | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-14 | vs CD Santa Clara | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-26 | vs SC Braga | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs AD Sanjoanense | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Rio Ave FC | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs FC Alverca | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Sporting CP | 0:2 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | FC Arouca vs CD Nacional O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | FC Arouca vs CD Nacional O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | FC Arouca vs CD Nacional O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | FC Arouca vs CD Nacional O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | greekTipsterSoCal Kalshi | Arouca wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | benjammin29 Kalshi | ARO -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Jason.Quijano23 Kalshi | Arouca wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Alert-Maestro-Magic Polymarket | FC Arouca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | FC Arouca to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | manvsrice42 Polymarket | FC Arouca to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | FC Arouca to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | Carefree-Significance Polymarket | FC Arouca to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | ameisgoat11 Polymarket | FC Arouca to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | justanogdataguy Polymarket | FC Arouca to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | lbtrading Polymarket | FC Arouca to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | iWasEnough Polymarket | FC Arouca to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | FC Arouca to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | FC Arouca to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | Satisfied-Brocolli Polymarket | FC Arouca to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | Flaznorp Polymarket | FC Arouca to win | Pending |