LoL Worlds 2026 · MLB Postseason
United21 ·
THE UNIT vs STATE prediction for 12 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC (United21): 6 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 60% backing STATE to win. Prediction-market win probability: THE UNIT 84%, STATE 16% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: THE UNIT 84% · STATE 16% (updated )
THE UNIT is the prediction-market favourite at 84% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-26 19:06 UTC+0). Of 5 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 3 (60%) back STATE to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 84% of 1783 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-26 19:06 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: THE UNIT 84% · STATE 16%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
6 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: THE UNIT 2 (40%) · STATE 3 (60%).
THE UNIT, last 5: W L W W L. STATE, last 5: L W L L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-26 19:06 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
6 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: THE UNIT to win 2 (40%) · STATE to win 3 (60%).
| 2026-10-11 | vs Teletubisie | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Chinggis Warriors | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | vs XI Esport | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-09 | vs Not A Squad Esports | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-08 | vs The KnockoutX | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs WRAITH PCIFIC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-09 | vs Teletubisie | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-08 | vs Linx Legacy Esport | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-07 | vs HOTU | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-06 | vs EAC Extra | 2:1 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Cr3ck3d Kalshi | THE UNIT wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | clis41 Kalshi | Map 2: THE UNIT | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | clis41 Kalshi | Map 2: STATE | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | Unitdor Kalshi | STATE wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | Unitdor Kalshi | Map 1: STATE | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | Unitdor Kalshi | Map 1: THE UNIT | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | 631DRNY Kalshi | STATE wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | BootyClapasarus Kalshi | STATE wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | clis41 Kalshi | STATE wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | clis41 Kalshi | THE UNIT wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | james.lancaster Kalshi | THE UNIT wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | james.lancaster Kalshi | STATE wins | Pending |