LoL Worlds 2026 · MLB Postseason
La Liga ·
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC (La Liga): 158 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 46% backing Athletic Bilbao to win. Prediction-market win probability: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 28%, the draw 32%, Athletic Bilbao 40% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 28% · Draw 32% · Athletic Bilbao 40% (updated )
Athletic Bilbao is the prediction-market favourite at 40% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-10 16:59 UTC+0). Of 41 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 19 (46%) back Athletic Bilbao to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1740 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-10 16:59 UTC+0, Polymarket shows: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 28% · Draw 32% · Athletic Bilbao 40%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
158 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 18 (44%) · Draw 4 (10%) · Athletic Bilbao 19 (46%).
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, last 5: D W L W L. Athletic Bilbao, last 5: W D D D W. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins – draws – Athletic Bilbao wins): 0-1-1; latest 2026-02-28: Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Athletic Bilbao.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-28 20:33 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
158 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win 18 (44%) · the draw 4 (10%) · Athletic Bilbao to win 19 (46%).
| 2026-09-19 | vs Osasuna | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Espanyol | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Real Madrid | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Racing Santander | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-01 | vs FC Barcelona | 2:5 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Deportivo Alaves | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Levante UD | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Elche CF | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Club Atlético de Madrid | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-02-28 | Rayo Vallecano | 1:1 | Athletic Bilbao |
| 2025-08-26 | Athletic Bilbao | 1:0 | Rayo Vallecano |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-28 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | exact score 2 - 1 | Pending |
| 2026-10-28 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | exact score 2 - 1 | Pending |
| 2026-10-28 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | exact score 2 - 1 | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | Somber-Commercial Polymarket | exact score 1 - 1 | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | davbsm Polymarket | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | davbsm Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-25 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-25 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-24 | piepi Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | Somber-Commercial Polymarket | exact score 1 - 1 | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | 168888888168 Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | 168888888168 Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | 168888888168 Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | piepi Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | piepi Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | 168888888168 Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | exact score 2 - 1 | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | JumaJumajej Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | JumaJumajej Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-20 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | 168888888168 Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-19 | zzqq35 Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | zzqq35 Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | zzqq35 Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | Somber-Commercial Polymarket | exact score 1 - 0 | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | KsDf5dCs Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | KsDf5dCs Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | nigiri99 Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | Splendid-Complexity Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Splendid-Complexity Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Splendid-Complexity Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | Splendid-Complexity Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | 168888888168 Polymarket | Halftime · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | curie Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | curie Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | curie Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Carefree-Significance Polymarket | exact score 2 - 0 | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Carefree-Significance Polymarket | exact score 3 - 3 | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Carefree-Significance Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Carefree-Significance Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Carefree-Significance Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Carefree-Significance Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Carefree-Significance Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Carefree-Significance Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Carefree-Significance Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 6.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Carefree-Significance Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Carefree-Significance Polymarket | Halftime · Athletic Club leading | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | piepi Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | piepi Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | norrisfan Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | sbsigner Polymarket | draw | Pending |