Bundesliga ·
Union Berlin vs Leipzig prediction for 21 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC (Bundesliga): 3 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: Union Berlin 16%, the draw 22%, Leipzig 60% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Union Berlin 16% · Draw 22% · Leipzig 60% (updated )
Leipzig is the prediction-market favourite at 60% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-15 14:14 UTC+0). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 66% of 2695 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-15 14:14 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: Union Berlin 16% · Draw 22% · Leipzig 60%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Union Berlin, last 5: L L D L D. Leipzig, last 5: W L W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-15 14:14 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
3 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-11-12 | vs VfL Wolfsburg | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-11-08 | vs SC Freiburg | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-11-01 | vs FC Köln | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-28 | vs FC Köln | 0:5 | L |
| 2026-10-24 | vs FC Augsburg | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-11-07 | vs FC Augsburg | 5:2 | W |
| 2026-11-05 | vs Manchester City FC | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-10-31 | vs Schalke | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-28 | vs Rot-Weiss Essen | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Elversberg | 4:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | thatsabing0 Polymarket | 1. FC Union Berlin to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing Polymarket | RB Leipzig to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | RB Leipzig to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | RB Leipzig to win | Pending |