Premier League ·
Chelsea FC vs Leeds United FC prediction for 21 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC (Premier League): 7 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 100% backing Chelsea FC to win. Prediction-market win probability: Chelsea FC 51%, the draw 25%, Leeds United FC 23% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Chelsea FC 51% · Draw 25% · Leeds United FC 23% (updated )
Chelsea FC is the prediction-market favourite at 51% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-14 11:46 UTC+0). Of 6 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 6 (100%) back Chelsea FC to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 51% of 2330 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-14 11:46 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: Chelsea FC 51% · Draw 25% · Leeds United FC 23%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
7 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Chelsea FC 6 (100%) · Draw 0 (0%) · Leeds United FC 0 (0%).
Chelsea FC, last 5: L W D L W. Leeds United FC, last 5: W L D D L. Head-to-head, last 4 meetings (Chelsea FC wins – draws – Leeds United FC wins): 2-1-1; latest 2026-09-10: Chelsea FC 6:3 Leeds United FC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-14 11:46 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
7 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Chelsea FC to win 6 (100%) · the draw 0 (0%) · Leeds United FC to win 0 (0%).
| 2026-11-08 | vs Sunderland AFC | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-31 | vs Manchester United FC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-29 | vs Liverpool FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Tottenham | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Everton FC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-11-07 | vs Tottenham | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-31 | vs AFC Bournemouth | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Sunderland AFC | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Manchester United FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Arsenal FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-10 | Chelsea FC | 6:3 | Leeds United FC |
| 2026-04-26 | Chelsea FC | 1:0 | Leeds United FC |
| 2026-02-11 | Chelsea FC | 2:2 | Leeds United FC |
| 2025-12-04 | Leeds United FC | 3:1 | Chelsea FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | 0xa95a…5acb Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | machine-hazard Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | ALEO-106 Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-12 | Hemil Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-12 | repophoto Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-12 | Miguel262144 Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-11 | Luminous-Addiction Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | Yar0202 Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | dumber Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Probably-Likely Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | suntori Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | sbsev Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | defensive.puppy8786 Kalshi | Chelsea wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Chelsea FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | draw | Pending |