LoL Worlds 2026 · MLB Postseason
Community Shield ·
Arsenal FC vs Manchester City FC result (3:0) on 16 Aug 2026 (Community Shield): 179 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 53% backing Manchester City FC to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Arsenal FC 3:0 Manchester City FC (2026-08-16). Before the result, 53% of 97 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Manchester City FC to win — that call was wrong.
179 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Arsenal FC 41 (42%) · Draw 5 (5%) · Manchester City FC 51 (53%).
Arsenal FC, last 5: D L W D D. Manchester City FC, last 5: W L D W W. Head-to-head, last 3 meetings (Arsenal FC wins – draws – Manchester City FC wins): 0-1-2; latest 2026-04-19: Manchester City FC 2:1 Arsenal FC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-08-16 15:55 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
179 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Arsenal FC to win 41 (42%) · the draw 5 (5%) · Manchester City FC to win 51 (53%).
| 2026-08-13 | vs Como 1907 | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-08-06 | vs Real Betis | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-08-02 | vs Girona FC | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PSG | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-05-30 | vs Paris Saint Germain | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-08-09 | vs Atletico | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-05-24 | vs Aston Villa FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AFC Bournemouth | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-05-16 | vs Chelsea FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-05-14 | vs Crystal Palace FC | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-04-19 | Manchester City FC | 2:1 | Arsenal FC |
| 2026-03-22 | Arsenal FC | 0:2 | Manchester City FC |
| 2025-09-21 | Arsenal FC | 1:1 | Manchester City FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | JojotheGoober Kalshi | Arsenal FC wins 3-0 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | jakobeee Kalshi | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | jakobeee Kalshi | Arsenal vs Manchester City: Manchester City To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | BeatVegasonce Kalshi | ARS +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | birdieroll26 Kalshi | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | ELMachy25 Kalshi | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | level.beaver4056 Kalshi | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | team.ash Kalshi | Team Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | juver Kalshi | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | invisible.rooster8118 Kalshi | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | buoyant.cod1238 Kalshi | Arsenal vs Manchester City: Manchester City To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | buoyant.cod1238 Kalshi | Arsenal vs Manchester City: Arsenal To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | FTW.leo Kalshi | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | BeatVegasonce Kalshi | Arsenal FC wins 3-0 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | dwdadwas Kalshi | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | rumodayne Kalshi | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | diego9012 Kalshi | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Eduardinho Kalshi | ARS +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | dwdadwas Kalshi | ARS +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | team.ash Kalshi | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | related.moth1114 Kalshi | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | juver Kalshi | ARS -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | JojotheGoober Kalshi | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | gazamanian Kalshi | Arsenal FC wins 3-0 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Elix Kalshi | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | RTR2026 Kalshi | Arsenal vs Manchester City: Arsenal To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | nice.hawk8571 Kalshi | Arsenal FC wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | nice.hawk8571 Kalshi | Arsenal FC wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | clau23 Kalshi | Arsenal vs Manchester City: Manchester City To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | RedCloudBG Kalshi | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | colombianslots Kalshi | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | rumodayne Kalshi | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | fancy.emu7716 Kalshi | Arsenal vs Manchester City: Manchester City To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | foolish.ostrich1538 Kalshi | ARS +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Feaze Kalshi | Arsenal vs Manchester City: Manchester City To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | oral.porcupine9960 Kalshi | Arsenal vs Manchester City: Manchester City To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | alexxxinwondrland Kalshi | ARS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | ideal.emu3725 Kalshi | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | jeffy2sweaty Kalshi | ARS -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | achan1210 Kalshi | ARS +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | bold.mastiff9343 Kalshi | Arsenal vs Manchester City: Arsenal To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | big.round Kalshi | ARS -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | retired.manatee1519 Kalshi | Arsenal vs Manchester City: Manchester City To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | deebo327 Kalshi | ARS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | achan1210 Kalshi | Arsenal FC wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | raw.barn Kalshi | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | extensive.caterpillar5535 Kalshi | Arsenal vs Manchester City: Manchester City To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Faustino16 Kalshi | ARS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | comparable.shrimp1890 Kalshi | Arsenal vs Manchester City: Manchester City To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | rapid.redpoll4190 Kalshi | ARS +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | BigPop69 Kalshi | Arsenal FC wins 3-0 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | BigPop69 Kalshi | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | RTR2026 Kalshi | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | meaningful.heron9000 Kalshi | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | meaningful.chinchilla3640 Kalshi | Arsenal vs Manchester City: Arsenal To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | BeatVegasonce Kalshi | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | traditional.saluki9811 Kalshi | Arsenal vs Manchester City: Arsenal To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | OneMoreParlay Kalshi | ARS +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Thundergoaty Kalshi | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | unexpected.mandrill1470 Kalshi | Arsenal vs Manchester City Winner | Lost |