LoL Worlds 2026 · MLB Postseason
Intl Friendlies ·
Tunisia vs Mali prediction for 3 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC (Intl Friendlies): 9 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 43% backing the draw. Prediction-market win probability: Tunisia <1%, the draw 99%, Mali <1% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Tunisia <1% · Draw 99% · Mali <1% (updated )
the draw is the prediction-market favourite at 99% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-02 08:30 UTC+0). Of 7 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 3 (43%) back the draw. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 84% of 1752 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-02 08:30 UTC+0, Polymarket shows: Tunisia <1% · Draw 99% · Mali <1%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
9 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Tunisia 2 (29%) · Draw 3 (43%) · Mali 2 (29%).
Tunisia, last 5: L L L L L. Mali, last 5: L D L D D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-02 10:50 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
9 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Tunisia to win 2 (29%) · the draw 3 (43%) · Mali to win 2 (29%).
| 2026-06-26 | vs Netherlands | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-06-21 | vs Japan | 0:4 | L |
| 2026-06-15 | vs Sweden | 1:5 | L |
| 2026-06-06 | vs Belgium | 0:5 | L |
| 2026-06-02 | vs Austria | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-06-04 | vs IR Iran | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-04-01 | vs Russia | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-01-09 | vs Senegal | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-01-04 | vs Tunisia | 1:1 | D |
| 2025-12-30 | vs Comoros | 0:0 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Awendt913 Polymarket | Tunisia vs Mali O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Awendt913 Polymarket | Tunisia vs Mali O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Mali to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Tunisia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | FaucetWiki Polymarket | Mali to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | suntori Polymarket | Tunisia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing Polymarket | Mali to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing Polymarket | Tunisia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | FaucetWiki Polymarket | Tunisia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Mali to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Tunisia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Tunisia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Mali to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Awendt913 Polymarket | Tunisia vs Mali O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | ssm86-X2p9 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Mali to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Mali to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Mali to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Mali to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | mooseborzoi Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Tunisia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Tunisia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Mali to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Mali to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | payamr1143 Polymarket | Mali to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | payamr1143 Polymarket | Tunisia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | gotozer0 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian Polymarket | Mali to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | 0xc6fd…53df Polymarket | Tunisia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian Polymarket | Tunisia to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-30 | mooseborzoi Polymarket | Mali to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-30 | fortuneking Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-09-30 | dybas Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-09-30 | mooseborzoi Polymarket | Tunisia to win | Pending |