NFL ·
Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots result (26:29) on 4 Oct 2026 (NFL): 301 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 62% backing Buffalo Bills to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Buffalo Bills 26:29 New England Patriots (2026-10-04). Before the result, 62% of 169 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Buffalo Bills to win — that call was wrong.
301 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Buffalo Bills 104 (62%) · New England Patriots 65 (38%).
Buffalo Bills, last 5: W W W W W. New England Patriots, last 5: L W L L W. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Buffalo Bills wins – draws – New England Patriots wins): 1-0-1; latest 2025-12-15: New England Patriots 31:35 Buffalo Bills.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 20:11 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
301 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Buffalo Bills to win 104 (62%) · New England Patriots to win 65 (38%).
| 2026-09-28 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | 24:16 | W |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Detroit Lions | 41:31 | W |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Houston Texans | 36:31 | W |
| 2026-08-28 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | 28:27 | W |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Cleveland Browns | 31:7 | W |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | 6:35 | L |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | 20:3 | W |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Seattle Seahawks | 10:13 | L |
| 2026-08-28 | vs Cleveland Browns | 13:37 | L |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 24:21 | W |
| 2025-12-15 | New England Patriots | 31:35 | Buffalo Bills |
| 2025-10-06 | Buffalo Bills | 20:23 | New England Patriots |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | convinced.crab Kalshi | BUF -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | the.real.winner Kalshi | 2H Over 24.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | the.real.winner Kalshi | 4Q Over 17.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | healthy.bear9418 Kalshi | Hunter Henry: 60+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | LetThemHang Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | glamorous.dingo2565 Kalshi | Under 57.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | town.leg Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Hidden.Edge Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | normal.cottontail3260 Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Girldad4086 Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | sin.dress Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | bigbets28 Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | KEVIND.43 Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | convinced.crab Kalshi | Over 63.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | NewYonduran504 Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | keegooz Kalshi | Over 60.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | bandit5205 Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | convinced.crab Kalshi | Over 60.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | xenophobic.bat8696 Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | totobang Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | gusrod Kalshi | Buffalo wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | VictorJacome Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | 714isaiah Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | mhill227 Kalshi | Buffalo wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | juicyweather Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | cream.doll Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | romeox77 Kalshi | Josh Allen: 300+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | g.k. Kalshi | Buffalo wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Sye0700000 Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | worrying.dinosaur Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | jjustticce Kalshi | Buffalo wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | abstract.aardwolf5105 Kalshi | Buffalo wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | clis41 Kalshi | Buffalo win the 4th Quarter | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | convinced.crab Kalshi | Buffalo wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | MikePrivilege Kalshi | Over 60.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | healthy.bear9418 Kalshi | Josh Allen: 5+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | grieving.mongoose9762 Kalshi | Buffalo wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | ploopu Kalshi | Buffalo wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | healthy.bear9418 Kalshi | Dalton Kincaid: 2+ receptions | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | keegooz Kalshi | New England wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | preeshing.inmyown.preesh Kalshi | Buffalo wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | AntMan85 Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | minimal.ragdoll3991 Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | MightyHendoPR Kalshi | NE -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | smarthustle31 Kalshi | Buffalo wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | eldest.bull3893 Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | grahamblez Kalshi | Buffalo wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Mr.Bands607 Kalshi | BUF -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | initial.quokka9455 Kalshi | BUF -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | JaredFTW Kalshi | NE -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | diego9012 Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | count.bar Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | scprom Kalshi | Buffalo wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | glamorous.dingo2565 Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | 0x31ef…ef4c SX Bet | Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | trick.brick Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | IH8Kickers Kalshi | Buffalo wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | wiresonly Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | MightyHendoPR Kalshi | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | mikepicks007 Kalshi | Over 51.5 | Won |