Dota 2 ·
Froglings vs Astra Invicta prediction for 7 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC (Dota 2): 7 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 71% backing Froglings to win. Prediction-market win probability: Froglings 30%, Astra Invicta 70% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Froglings 30% · Astra Invicta 70% (updated )
Astra Invicta is the prediction-market favourite at 70% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-14 00:10 UTC+0). Of 7 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 5 (71%) back Froglings to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 66% of 2590 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-14 00:10 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: Froglings 30% · Astra Invicta 70%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
7 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Froglings 5 (71%) · Astra Invicta 2 (29%).
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-14 00:10 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
7 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Froglings to win 5 (71%) · Astra Invicta to win 2 (29%).
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Odd-Deformation Polymarket | Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | BigRiskNoReward Polymarket | Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | BigRiskNoReward Polymarket | Game Handicap: AI (-1.5) vs Froglings (+1.5) | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Odd-Deformation Polymarket | Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | BigRiskNoReward Polymarket | Game Handicap: AI (-1.5) vs Froglings (+1.5) | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | BigRiskNoReward Polymarket | Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | Odd-Deformation Polymarket | Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | newUser2025 Polymarket | Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A | Won |
| 2026-11-07 | newUser2025 Polymarket | Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | newUser2025 Polymarket | Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | newUser2025 Polymarket | Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | newUser2025 Polymarket | Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | newUser2025 Polymarket | Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | newUser2025 Polymarket | Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | newUser2025 Polymarket | Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | BigRiskNoReward Polymarket | Game Handicap: AI (-1.5) vs Froglings (+1.5) | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | newUser2025 Polymarket | Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | BigRiskNoReward Polymarket | Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | newUser2025 Polymarket | Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A | Pending |
| 2026-11-06 | coolhanddan Kalshi | Froglings wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-06 | 0xc87d…9ff4 SX Bet | Froglings vs Astra Invicta | Pending |
| 2026-11-06 | 0xc87d…9ff4 SX Bet | Froglings vs Astra Invicta | Pending |
| 2026-11-06 | 0xa761…2453 SX Bet | Froglings vs Astra Invicta | Pending |
| 2026-11-05 | james.lancaster Kalshi | Astra Invicta wins | Pending |